Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 31·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
22%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.213.10safe0.92–2.860.36–2.071.28–4.92safer0.67–3.110.13–2.290.80–5.40
Shots on target
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.374.159.52safe3.50–7.232.41–5.895.91–13.12safer3.01–7.721.94–6.364.95–14.08
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9211.3927.31safe12.00–19.857.83–14.9619.83–34.80safer10.90–20.946.87–15.9217.78–36.85
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.357.0617.40safe7.41–13.294.37–9.7411.78–23.03safer6.58–14.123.64–10.4710.21–24.59
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.453.487.93safe2.57–6.331.82–5.134.39–11.46safer2.02–6.871.33–5.623.36–12.50
Corners
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.904.5010.40safe3.69–8.112.50–6.506.19–14.62safer3.11–8.691.97–7.045.08–15.72
Possession %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction54.3645.88safe47.57–61.1539.10–52.67safer45.90–62.8237.43–54.34
Passes
82%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction500387887safe433–567321–454754–1021safer414–585303–471718–1057
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction70.5170.73safe66.48–74.5466.41–75.05safer65.19–75.8365.10–76.36
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4612.3924.85safe9.62–15.299.45–15.3419.06–30.63safer8.86–16.058.70–16.0817.56–32.13
Offsides
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.693.71safe0.86–3.180.60–2.781.46–5.96safer0.56–3.480.31–3.070.87–6.55
Yellow cards
36%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.913.66safe0.69–2.790.78–3.041.48–5.83safer0.43–3.060.49–3.330.92–6.39
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.723.316.03safe1.28–4.151.75–4.873.04–9.02safer0.89–4.541.33–5.292.22–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.89 0.92–2.86 0.67–3.11 | 1.21 0.36–2.07 0.13–2.29 | 3.10 1.28–4.92 0.80–5.40 | 53% 22% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.37 3.50–7.23 3.01–7.72 | 4.15 2.41–5.89 1.94–6.36 | 9.52 5.91–13.12 4.95–14.08 | 59% 29% |
| Total shots | 15.92 12.00–19.85 10.90–20.94 | 11.39 7.83–14.96 6.87–15.92 | 27.31 19.83–34.80 17.78–36.85 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 10.35 7.41–13.29 6.58–14.12 | 7.06 4.37–9.74 3.64–10.47 | 17.40 11.78–23.03 10.21–24.59 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.45 2.57–6.33 2.02–6.87 | 3.48 1.82–5.13 1.33–5.62 | 7.93 4.39–11.46 3.36–12.50 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 5.90 3.69–8.11 3.11–8.69 | 4.50 2.50–6.50 1.97–7.04 | 10.40 6.19–14.62 5.08–15.72 | 61% 28% |
| Possession % | 54.36 47.57–61.15 45.90–62.82 | 45.88 39.10–52.67 37.43–54.34 | — | 67% 29% |
| Passes | 500 433–567 414–585 | 387 321–454 303–471 | 887 754–1021 718–1057 | 82% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.51 66.48–74.54 65.19–75.83 | 70.73 66.41–75.05 65.10–76.36 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 12.46 9.62–15.29 8.86–16.05 | 12.39 9.45–15.34 8.70–16.08 | 24.85 19.06–30.63 17.56–32.13 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.56–3.48 | 1.69 0.60–2.78 0.31–3.07 | 3.71 1.46–5.96 0.87–6.55 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.43–3.06 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.66 1.48–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 36% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.72 1.28–4.15 0.89–4.54 | 3.31 1.75–4.87 1.33–5.29 | 6.03 3.04–9.02 2.22–9.83 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+