Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.422.78safe0.39–2.320.56–2.270.95–4.60safer0.14–2.580.34–2.500.47–5.08
Shots on target
42%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.484.569.03safe2.61–6.342.81–6.305.43–12.64safer2.12–6.832.35–6.764.47–13.59
Total shots
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5613.0126.57safe9.63–17.489.45–16.5819.08–34.06safer8.54–18.578.49–17.5317.03–36.11
Shots in box
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction8.988.0817.06safe6.04–11.925.40–10.7611.44–22.69safer5.21–12.754.66–11.509.87–24.25
Blocked shots
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.123.908.02safe2.24–6.002.25–5.554.48–11.55safer1.69–6.541.75–6.043.45–12.59
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.394.579.96safe3.18–7.602.57–6.575.75–14.17safer2.60–8.182.04–7.104.64–15.28
Possession %
20%
77%
homeawayprediction43.8957.20safe37.10–50.6850.42–63.99safer35.43–52.3548.75–65.66
Passes
18%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction428537965safe360–495471–604831–1099safer342–513454–621796–1134
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction63.9974.42safe59.96–68.0270.10–78.74safer58.67–69.3168.79–80.05
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction10.289.9920.28safe7.45–13.127.05–12.9414.49–26.06safer6.69–13.886.30–13.6912.99–27.56
Offsides
46%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.383.13safe0.59–2.910.28–2.470.87–5.38safer0.29–3.210.00–2.760.28–5.97
Yellow cards
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.783.37safe0.55–2.650.65–2.901.19–5.55safer0.28–2.910.36–3.200.64–6.11
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
39%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.853.035.89safe1.42–4.291.48–4.592.89–8.88safer1.03–4.681.05–5.012.08–9.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.32 0.14–2.58 | 1.42 0.56–2.27 0.34–2.50 | 2.78 0.95–4.60 0.47–5.08 | 36% 25% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.48 2.61–6.34 2.12–6.83 | 4.56 2.81–6.30 2.35–6.76 | 9.03 5.43–12.64 4.47–13.59 | 42% 13% 44% |
| Total shots | 13.56 9.63–17.48 8.54–18.57 | 13.01 9.45–16.58 8.49–17.53 | 26.57 19.08–34.06 17.03–36.11 | 50% 42% |
| Shots in box | 8.98 6.04–11.92 5.21–12.75 | 8.08 5.40–10.76 4.66–11.50 | 17.06 11.44–22.69 9.87–24.25 | 54% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 4.12 2.24–6.00 1.69–6.54 | 3.90 2.25–5.55 1.75–6.04 | 8.02 4.48–11.55 3.45–12.59 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Corners | 5.39 3.18–7.60 2.60–8.18 | 4.57 2.57–6.57 2.04–7.10 | 9.96 5.75–14.17 4.64–15.28 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 43.89 37.10–50.68 35.43–52.35 | 57.20 50.42–63.99 48.75–65.66 | — | 20% 77% |
| Passes | 428 360–495 342–513 | 537 471–604 454–621 | 965 831–1099 796–1134 | 18% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.99 59.96–68.02 58.67–69.31 | 74.42 70.10–78.74 68.79–80.05 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 10.28 7.45–13.12 6.69–13.88 | 9.99 7.05–12.94 6.30–13.69 | 20.28 14.49–26.06 12.99–27.56 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.29–3.21 | 1.38 0.28–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 3.13 0.87–5.38 0.28–5.97 | 46% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.28–2.91 | 1.78 0.65–2.90 0.36–3.20 | 3.37 1.19–5.55 0.64–6.11 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.85 1.42–4.29 1.03–4.68 | 3.03 1.48–4.59 1.05–5.01 | 5.89 2.89–8.88 2.08–9.69 | 39% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.