Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
24%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction0.951.732.68safe0.00–1.920.88–2.590.86–4.51safer0.00–2.170.65–2.810.38–4.99
Shots on target
27%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.594.858.44safe1.73–5.463.10–6.594.84–12.05safer1.24–5.952.64–7.053.88–13.00
Total shots
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6413.5625.21safe7.72–15.5710.00–17.1317.72–32.70safer6.63–16.669.04–18.0915.67–34.75
Shots in box
27%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction7.639.6517.28safe4.69–10.586.97–12.3311.66–22.90safer3.86–11.416.23–13.0710.09–24.47
Blocked shots
36%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.413.867.27safe1.52–5.292.21–5.523.73–10.80safer0.98–5.831.72–6.012.70–11.84
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.485.299.77safe2.26–6.693.29–7.295.56–13.98safer1.69–7.262.76–7.834.45–15.09
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction49.2451.06safe42.45–56.0344.27–57.84safer40.78–57.7042.60–59.51
Passes
58%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction457434891safe390–524367–500757–1025safer372–543350–518722–1060
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction61.9869.21safe57.96–66.0164.89–73.54safer56.66–67.3163.58–74.85
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7411.9423.69safe8.90–14.589.00–14.8917.90–29.47safer8.15–15.348.25–15.6416.40–30.97
Offsides
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.793.31safe0.36–2.680.69–2.881.06–5.56safer0.06–2.990.40–3.170.47–6.15
Yellow cards
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.853.87safe0.97–3.070.72–2.981.70–6.05safer0.71–3.340.43–3.271.14–6.61
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
53%
16%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.222.535.75safe1.78–4.660.98–4.092.76–8.75safer1.40–5.040.55–4.511.95–9.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 1.73 0.88–2.59 0.65–2.81 | 2.68 0.86–4.51 0.38–4.99 | 21% 24% 56% |
| Shots on target | 3.59 1.73–5.46 1.24–5.95 | 4.85 3.10–6.59 2.64–7.05 | 8.44 4.84–12.05 3.88–13.00 | 27% 60% |
| Total shots | 11.64 7.72–15.57 6.63–16.66 | 13.56 10.00–17.13 9.04–18.09 | 25.21 17.72–32.70 15.67–34.75 | 31% 61% |
| Shots in box | 7.63 4.69–10.58 3.86–11.41 | 9.65 6.97–12.33 6.23–13.07 | 17.28 11.66–22.90 10.09–24.47 | 27% 64% |
| Blocked shots | 3.41 1.52–5.29 0.98–5.83 | 3.86 2.21–5.52 1.72–6.01 | 7.27 3.73–10.80 2.70–11.84 | 36% 15% 49% |
| Corners | 4.48 2.26–6.69 1.69–7.26 | 5.29 3.29–7.29 2.76–7.83 | 9.77 5.56–13.98 4.45–15.09 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 49.24 42.45–56.03 40.78–57.70 | 51.06 44.27–57.84 42.60–59.51 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 457 390–524 372–543 | 434 367–500 350–518 | 891 757–1025 722–1060 | 58% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.98 57.96–66.01 56.66–67.31 | 69.21 64.89–73.54 63.58–74.85 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 11.74 8.90–14.58 8.15–15.34 | 11.94 9.00–14.89 8.25–15.64 | 23.69 17.90–29.47 16.40–30.97 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.99 | 1.79 0.69–2.88 0.40–3.17 | 3.31 1.06–5.56 0.47–6.15 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.71–3.34 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.87 1.70–6.05 1.14–6.61 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.22 1.78–4.66 1.40–5.04 | 2.53 0.98–4.09 0.55–4.51 | 5.75 2.76–8.75 1.95–9.56 | 53% 16% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.