Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
27%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.222.55safe0.36–2.300.37–2.080.73–4.38safer0.11–2.550.14–2.300.25–4.85
Shots on target
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.293.968.26safe2.43–6.162.22–5.714.65–11.86safer1.94–6.641.76–6.173.70–12.82
Total shots
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5611.6224.19safe8.64–16.498.06–15.1916.70–31.67safer7.55–17.587.10–16.1414.65–33.72
Shots in box
46%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction7.577.4815.05safe4.63–10.514.80–10.169.42–20.67safer3.80–11.344.06–10.897.86–22.24
Blocked shots
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.243.066.30safe1.36–5.121.40–4.712.76–9.83safer0.81–5.660.91–5.201.73–10.87
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.274.519.78safe3.06–7.492.51–6.515.57–14.00safer2.49–8.061.98–7.044.46–15.10
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction55.4144.92safe48.62–62.2038.13–51.70safer46.95–63.8736.46–53.37
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction428320748safe361–495254–387614–882safer343–513236–404579–917
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction65.1063.97safe61.07–69.1359.65–68.30safer59.78–70.4258.34–69.61
Fouls
17%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8317.6130.43safe9.99–15.6614.66–20.5524.65–36.21safer9.23–16.4213.91–21.3023.15–37.72
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.683.33safe0.49–2.810.59–2.771.07–5.58safer0.18–3.110.30–3.060.48–6.17
Yellow cards
27%
17%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.133.015.14safe1.08–3.181.88–4.142.96–7.32safer0.82–3.451.59–4.432.40–7.87
Red cards
75%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.160.31safe0.00–0.310.00–0.350.00–0.66safer0.00–0.460.00–0.480.00–0.94
GK saves
34%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.623.055.67safe1.18–4.051.50–4.612.68–8.66safer0.79–4.441.07–5.031.86–9.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.30 0.11–2.55 | 1.22 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.30 | 2.55 0.73–4.38 0.25–4.85 | 39% 27% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.29 2.43–6.16 1.94–6.64 | 3.96 2.22–5.71 1.76–6.17 | 8.26 4.65–11.86 3.70–12.82 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Total shots | 12.56 8.64–16.49 7.55–17.58 | 11.62 8.06–15.19 7.10–16.14 | 24.19 16.70–31.67 14.65–33.72 | 54% 38% |
| Shots in box | 7.57 4.63–10.51 3.80–11.34 | 7.48 4.80–10.16 4.06–10.89 | 15.05 9.42–20.67 7.86–22.24 | 46% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 3.24 1.36–5.12 0.81–5.66 | 3.06 1.40–4.71 0.91–5.20 | 6.30 2.76–9.83 1.73–10.87 | 45% 16% 39% |
| Corners | 5.27 3.06–7.49 2.49–8.06 | 4.51 2.51–6.51 1.98–7.04 | 9.78 5.57–14.00 4.46–15.10 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 55.41 48.62–62.20 46.95–63.87 | 44.92 38.13–51.70 36.46–53.37 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 428 361–495 343–513 | 320 254–387 236–404 | 748 614–882 579–917 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.10 61.07–69.13 59.78–70.42 | 63.97 59.65–68.30 58.34–69.61 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 12.83 9.99–15.66 9.23–16.42 | 17.61 14.66–20.55 13.91–21.30 | 30.43 24.65–36.21 23.15–37.72 | 17% 78% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.18–3.11 | 1.68 0.59–2.77 0.30–3.06 | 3.33 1.07–5.58 0.48–6.17 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.13 1.08–3.18 0.82–3.45 | 3.01 1.88–4.14 1.59–4.43 | 5.14 2.96–7.32 2.40–7.87 | 27% 17% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.31 0.00–0.66 0.00–0.94 | 75% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.18–4.05 0.79–4.44 | 3.05 1.50–4.61 1.07–5.03 | 5.67 2.68–8.66 1.86–9.47 | 34% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+