Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
26%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.002.50safe0.54–2.470.14–1.850.68–4.32safer0.28–2.720.00–2.080.20–4.80
Shots on target
58%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.453.387.83safe2.58–6.311.64–5.134.22–11.43safer2.09–6.801.18–5.593.27–12.39
Total shots
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction13.799.5123.30safe9.87–17.725.94–13.0715.81–30.78safer8.77–18.814.98–14.0313.76–32.83
Shots in box
74%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction8.645.6714.31safe5.70–11.582.99–8.358.69–19.93safer4.87–12.412.25–9.097.12–21.50
Blocked shots
52%
16%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.252.595.84safe1.37–5.130.94–4.252.31–9.38safer0.82–5.670.45–4.741.27–10.41
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.193.999.18safe2.98–7.401.99–5.994.97–13.40safer2.40–7.981.46–6.533.86–14.50
Possession %
35%
61%
homeawayprediction47.0752.72safe40.28–53.8645.94–59.51safer38.61–55.5344.27–61.18
Passes
36%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction358400758safe291–426334–467625–892safer273–444316–484589–928
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction60.7867.65safe56.75–64.8163.32–71.97safer55.46–66.1162.01–73.28
Fouls
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction16.9413.2030.14safe14.11–19.7810.25–16.1424.36–35.92safer13.35–20.549.50–16.8922.85–37.43
Offsides
43%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.473.18safe0.55–2.870.38–2.570.93–5.43safer0.25–3.170.09–2.850.34–6.02
Yellow cards
44%
18%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.672.505.17safe1.62–3.721.38–3.632.99–7.35safer1.35–3.981.08–3.922.44–7.91
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.130.26safe0.00–0.280.00–0.320.00–0.60safer0.00–0.430.00–0.450.00–0.89
GK saves
30%
17%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.383.095.47safe0.95–3.821.53–4.652.48–8.46safer0.56–4.211.11–5.071.67–9.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.54–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 1.00 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 2.50 0.68–4.32 0.20–4.80 | 49% 26% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.45 2.58–6.31 2.09–6.80 | 3.38 1.64–5.13 1.18–5.59 | 7.83 4.22–11.43 3.27–12.39 | 58% 14% 29% |
| Total shots | 13.79 9.87–17.72 8.77–18.81 | 9.51 5.94–13.07 4.98–14.03 | 23.30 15.81–30.78 13.76–32.83 | 78% 16% |
| Shots in box | 8.64 5.70–11.58 4.87–12.41 | 5.67 2.99–8.35 2.25–9.09 | 14.31 8.69–19.93 7.12–21.50 | 74% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 3.25 1.37–5.13 0.82–5.67 | 2.59 0.94–4.25 0.45–4.74 | 5.84 2.31–9.38 1.27–10.41 | 52% 16% 31% |
| Corners | 5.19 2.98–7.40 2.40–7.98 | 3.99 1.99–5.99 1.46–6.53 | 9.18 4.97–13.40 3.86–14.50 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 47.07 40.28–53.86 38.61–55.53 | 52.72 45.94–59.51 44.27–61.18 | — | 35% 61% |
| Passes | 358 291–426 273–444 | 400 334–467 316–484 | 758 625–892 589–928 | 36% 64% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.78 56.75–64.81 55.46–66.11 | 67.65 63.32–71.97 62.01–73.28 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 16.94 14.11–19.78 13.35–20.54 | 13.20 10.25–16.14 9.50–16.89 | 30.14 24.36–35.92 22.85–37.43 | 72% 22% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 1.47 0.38–2.57 0.09–2.85 | 3.18 0.93–5.43 0.34–6.02 | 43% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.67 1.62–3.72 1.35–3.98 | 2.50 1.38–3.63 1.08–3.92 | 5.17 2.99–7.35 2.44–7.91 | 44% 18% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.26 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.89 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.95–3.82 0.56–4.21 | 3.09 1.53–4.65 1.11–5.07 | 5.47 2.48–8.46 1.67–9.28 | 30% 17% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.