Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
26%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.101.442.53safe0.13–2.060.58–2.290.71–4.35safer0.00–2.310.35–2.520.23–4.83
Shots on target
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.064.348.40safe2.19–5.922.60–6.084.79–12.00safer1.71–6.412.13–6.553.84–12.96
Total shots
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2713.1225.39safe8.34–16.199.56–16.6817.90–32.88safer7.25–17.288.60–17.6415.85–34.93
Shots in box
39%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction7.347.9715.31safe4.40–10.295.28–10.659.69–20.93safer3.57–11.124.55–11.388.12–22.50
Blocked shots
42%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.243.216.45safe1.36–5.121.56–4.872.92–9.99safer0.81–5.671.07–5.361.88–11.02
Corners
39%
13%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.364.749.10safe2.15–6.582.74–6.744.89–13.31safer1.58–7.152.20–7.273.78–14.42
Possession %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction45.3255.70safe38.53–52.1148.91–62.48safer36.86–53.7847.24–64.15
Passes
25%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction364446810safe297–432379–512676–944safer279–450362–530641–979
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction62.5570.85safe58.52–66.5866.52–75.17safer57.23–67.8765.21–76.48
Fouls
52%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1314.3429.47safe12.29–17.9711.40–17.2923.69–35.26safer11.54–18.7210.65–18.0422.19–36.76
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.923.62safe0.54–2.860.82–3.011.36–5.87safer0.24–3.160.53–3.300.77–6.46
Yellow cards
41%
19%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.422.404.82safe1.37–3.471.27–3.532.64–7.00safer1.10–3.730.98–3.822.08–7.55
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.120.24safe0.00–0.280.00–0.310.00–0.58safer0.00–0.430.00–0.440.00–0.87
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.932.825.75safe1.50–4.371.26–4.382.76–8.74safer1.11–4.760.84–4.801.95–9.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.10 0.13–2.06 0.00–2.31 | 1.44 0.58–2.29 0.35–2.52 | 2.53 0.71–4.35 0.23–4.83 | 29% 26% 45% |
| Shots on target | 4.06 2.19–5.92 1.71–6.41 | 4.34 2.60–6.08 2.13–6.55 | 8.40 4.79–12.00 3.84–12.96 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Total shots | 12.27 8.34–16.19 7.25–17.28 | 13.12 9.56–16.68 8.60–17.64 | 25.39 17.90–32.88 15.85–34.93 | 39% 53% |
| Shots in box | 7.34 4.40–10.29 3.57–11.12 | 7.97 5.28–10.65 4.55–11.38 | 15.31 9.69–20.93 8.12–22.50 | 39% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.24 1.36–5.12 0.81–5.67 | 3.21 1.56–4.87 1.07–5.36 | 6.45 2.92–9.99 1.88–11.02 | 42% 16% 42% |
| Corners | 4.36 2.15–6.58 1.58–7.15 | 4.74 2.74–6.74 2.20–7.27 | 9.10 4.89–13.31 3.78–14.42 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Possession % | 45.32 38.53–52.11 36.86–53.78 | 55.70 48.91–62.48 47.24–64.15 | — | 25% 71% |
| Passes | 364 297–432 279–450 | 446 379–512 362–530 | 810 676–944 641–979 | 25% 75% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.55 58.52–66.58 57.23–67.87 | 70.85 66.52–75.17 65.21–76.48 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 15.13 12.29–17.97 11.54–18.72 | 14.34 11.40–17.29 10.65–18.04 | 29.47 23.69–35.26 22.19–36.76 | 52% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.16 | 1.92 0.82–3.01 0.53–3.30 | 3.62 1.36–5.87 0.77–6.46 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 2.42 1.37–3.47 1.10–3.73 | 2.40 1.27–3.53 0.98–3.82 | 4.82 2.64–7.00 2.08–7.55 | 41% 19% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.93 1.50–4.37 1.11–4.76 | 2.82 1.26–4.38 0.84–4.80 | 5.75 2.76–8.74 1.95–9.56 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+