Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
26%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.490.952.44safe0.52–2.450.10–1.810.62–4.26safer0.27–2.700.00–2.040.14–4.74
Shots on target
58%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.893.818.70safe3.02–6.752.07–5.555.09–12.30safer2.53–7.241.60–6.024.14–13.26
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5412.3428.89safe12.62–20.478.78–15.9121.40–36.37safer11.53–21.567.82–16.8719.35–38.42
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.677.1716.84safe6.73–12.624.49–9.8511.22–22.47safer5.90–13.443.75–10.599.65–24.03
Blocked shots
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.772.786.55safe1.88–5.651.13–4.433.01–10.08safer1.34–6.190.64–4.931.98–11.12
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.874.2610.13safe3.65–8.082.26–6.265.92–14.34safer3.08–8.661.73–6.804.81–15.45
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction55.5644.12safe48.77–62.3537.33–50.90safer47.10–64.0235.66–52.58
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction471352823safe404–539285–418690–957safer386–557268–436654–993
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction67.4365.82safe63.40–71.4661.49–70.14safer62.11–72.7560.18–71.45
Fouls
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0315.8729.90safe11.19–16.8612.92–18.8124.11–35.68safer10.43–17.6212.18–19.5622.61–37.18
Offsides
47%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.141.753.90safe0.98–3.310.66–2.841.64–6.15safer0.68–3.610.37–3.131.05–6.74
Yellow cards
34%
18%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.202.604.81safe1.15–3.251.48–3.732.63–6.98safer0.89–3.521.18–4.032.07–7.54
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.120.23safe0.00–0.270.00–0.310.00–0.58safer0.00–0.420.00–0.440.00–0.86
GK saves
28%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.633.536.16safe1.20–4.071.97–5.083.17–9.15safer0.81–4.461.55–5.512.36–9.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.52–2.45 0.27–2.70 | 0.95 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 2.44 0.62–4.26 0.14–4.74 | 50% 26% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.89 3.02–6.75 2.53–7.24 | 3.81 2.07–5.55 1.60–6.02 | 8.70 5.09–12.30 4.14–13.26 | 58% 29% |
| Total shots | 16.54 12.62–20.47 11.53–21.56 | 12.34 8.78–15.91 7.82–16.87 | 28.89 21.40–36.37 19.35–38.42 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 9.67 6.73–12.62 5.90–13.44 | 7.17 4.49–9.85 3.75–10.59 | 16.84 11.22–22.47 9.65–24.03 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 3.77 1.88–5.65 1.34–6.19 | 2.78 1.13–4.43 0.64–4.93 | 6.55 3.01–10.08 1.98–11.12 | 57% 15% 28% |
| Corners | 5.87 3.65–8.08 3.08–8.66 | 4.26 2.26–6.26 1.73–6.80 | 10.13 5.92–14.34 4.81–15.45 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 55.56 48.77–62.35 47.10–64.02 | 44.12 37.33–50.90 35.66–52.58 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 471 404–539 386–557 | 352 285–418 268–436 | 823 690–957 654–993 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.43 63.40–71.46 62.11–72.75 | 65.82 61.49–70.14 60.18–71.45 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 14.03 11.19–16.86 10.43–17.62 | 15.87 12.92–18.81 12.18–19.56 | 29.90 24.11–35.68 22.61–37.18 | 33% 60% |
| Offsides | 2.14 0.98–3.31 0.68–3.61 | 1.75 0.66–2.84 0.37–3.13 | 3.90 1.64–6.15 1.05–6.74 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.20 1.15–3.25 0.89–3.52 | 2.60 1.48–3.73 1.18–4.03 | 4.81 2.63–6.98 2.07–7.54 | 34% 18% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 3.53 1.97–5.08 1.55–5.51 | 6.16 3.17–9.15 2.36–9.97 | 28% 15% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.