Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
27%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.062.39safe0.36–2.300.21–1.920.57–4.21safer0.11–2.550.00–2.150.09–4.69
Shots on target
56%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.523.588.10safe2.66–6.381.84–5.334.50–11.71safer2.17–6.871.38–5.793.54–12.66
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8410.8724.71safe9.92–17.777.31–14.4417.23–32.20safer8.82–18.866.35–15.3915.18–34.25
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction8.706.2114.91safe5.76–11.643.53–8.899.28–20.53safer4.93–12.472.79–9.627.72–22.10
Blocked shots
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.282.645.92safe1.40–5.170.99–4.292.39–9.46safer0.86–5.710.49–4.781.35–10.49
Corners
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.154.259.40safe2.94–7.362.25–6.255.19–13.62safer2.36–7.941.72–6.794.08–14.72
Possession %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction46.6953.85safe39.89–53.4847.06–60.63safer38.23–55.1545.39–62.30
Passes
32%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction349407756safe282–417340–473622–890safer264–435323–491587–925
Pass accuracy %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction59.8466.84safe55.81–63.8762.51–71.16safer54.51–65.1661.20–72.47
Fouls
41%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7215.4630.19safe11.89–17.5612.52–18.4124.41–35.97safer11.13–18.3211.77–19.1622.90–37.48
Offsides
55%
21%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.323.42safe0.94–3.260.23–2.411.16–5.67safer0.64–3.560.00–2.700.58–6.26
Yellow cards
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.692.905.59safe1.64–3.741.77–4.033.42–7.77safer1.37–4.011.48–4.322.86–8.33
Red cards
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.190.32safe0.00–0.290.00–0.380.00–0.67safer0.00–0.440.00–0.510.00–0.95
GK saves
29%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.423.185.60safe0.99–3.861.62–4.742.61–8.59safer0.60–4.251.20–5.161.80–9.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.30 0.11–2.55 | 1.06 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.15 | 2.39 0.57–4.21 0.09–4.69 | 43% 27% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.52 2.66–6.38 2.17–6.87 | 3.58 1.84–5.33 1.38–5.79 | 8.10 4.50–11.71 3.54–12.66 | 56% 14% 31% |
| Total shots | 13.84 9.92–17.77 8.82–18.86 | 10.87 7.31–14.44 6.35–15.39 | 24.71 17.23–32.20 15.18–34.25 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 8.70 5.76–11.64 4.93–12.47 | 6.21 3.53–8.89 2.79–9.62 | 14.91 9.28–20.53 7.72–22.10 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 3.28 1.40–5.17 0.86–5.71 | 2.64 0.99–4.29 0.49–4.78 | 5.92 2.39–9.46 1.35–10.49 | 52% 16% 32% |
| Corners | 5.15 2.94–7.36 2.36–7.94 | 4.25 2.25–6.25 1.72–6.79 | 9.40 5.19–13.62 4.08–14.72 | 55% 32% |
| Possession % | 46.69 39.89–53.48 38.23–55.15 | 53.85 47.06–60.63 45.39–62.30 | — | 31% 64% |
| Passes | 349 282–417 264–435 | 407 340–473 323–491 | 756 622–890 587–925 | 32% 68% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.84 55.81–63.87 54.51–65.16 | 66.84 62.51–71.16 61.20–72.47 | — | 17% 80% |
| Fouls | 14.72 11.89–17.56 11.13–18.32 | 15.46 12.52–18.41 11.77–19.16 | 30.19 24.41–35.97 22.90–37.48 | 41% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.64–3.56 | 1.32 0.23–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 3.42 1.16–5.67 0.58–6.26 | 55% 21% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 2.69 1.64–3.74 1.37–4.01 | 2.90 1.77–4.03 1.48–4.32 | 5.59 3.42–7.77 2.86–8.33 | 38% 17% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.38 0.00–0.51 | 0.32 0.00–0.67 0.00–0.95 | 74% 15% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.99–3.86 0.60–4.25 | 3.18 1.62–4.74 1.20–5.16 | 5.60 2.61–8.59 1.80–9.41 | 29% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.