Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
27%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.202.44safe0.27–2.210.34–2.050.62–4.26safer0.02–2.460.12–2.280.14–4.74
Shots on target
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.193.888.07safe2.33–6.052.14–5.624.46–11.67safer1.84–6.541.67–6.093.51–12.63
Total shots
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9811.9424.92safe9.06–16.918.38–15.5017.43–32.41safer7.96–18.007.42–16.4615.38–34.46
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction7.577.2514.82safe4.62–10.514.57–9.939.19–20.44safer3.79–11.343.83–10.677.63–22.01
Blocked shots
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.472.896.36safe1.58–5.351.24–4.552.82–9.90safer1.04–5.890.75–5.041.79–10.93
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.304.519.81safe3.09–7.512.51–6.515.60–14.02safer2.51–8.091.98–7.044.49–15.13
Possession %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction56.1943.83safe49.40–62.9837.05–50.62safer47.73–64.6535.38–52.29
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction449326775safe382–516260–393641–909safer364–534242–410606–945
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction64.4163.86safe60.38–68.4459.53–68.18safer59.09–69.7358.22–69.49
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7715.9429.71safe10.93–16.6013.00–18.8923.93–35.49safer10.17–17.3612.25–19.6422.42–37.00
Offsides
25%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.412.123.53safe0.25–2.571.03–3.211.28–5.78safer0.00–2.870.74–3.500.69–6.37
Yellow cards
32%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.352.935.27safe1.30–3.401.80–4.063.10–7.45safer1.03–3.661.51–4.352.54–8.01
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.140.29safe0.00–0.310.00–0.330.00–0.63safer0.00–0.460.00–0.460.00–0.92
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.692.845.53safe1.26–4.131.28–4.392.54–8.53safer0.87–4.520.86–4.821.73–9.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.21 0.02–2.46 | 1.20 0.34–2.05 0.12–2.28 | 2.44 0.62–4.26 0.14–4.74 | 37% 27% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.19 2.33–6.05 1.84–6.54 | 3.88 2.14–5.62 1.67–6.09 | 8.07 4.46–11.67 3.51–12.63 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Total shots | 12.98 9.06–16.91 7.96–18.00 | 11.94 8.38–15.50 7.42–16.46 | 24.92 17.43–32.41 15.38–34.46 | 54% 38% |
| Shots in box | 7.57 4.62–10.51 3.79–11.34 | 7.25 4.57–9.93 3.83–10.67 | 14.82 9.19–20.44 7.63–22.01 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.47 1.58–5.35 1.04–5.89 | 2.89 1.24–4.55 0.75–5.04 | 6.36 2.82–9.90 1.79–10.93 | 51% 16% 33% |
| Corners | 5.30 3.09–7.51 2.51–8.09 | 4.51 2.51–6.51 1.98–7.04 | 9.81 5.60–14.02 4.49–15.13 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 56.19 49.40–62.98 47.73–64.65 | 43.83 37.05–50.62 35.38–52.29 | — | 75% 21% |
| Passes | 449 382–516 364–534 | 326 260–393 242–410 | 775 641–909 606–945 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.41 60.38–68.44 59.09–69.73 | 63.86 59.53–68.18 58.22–69.49 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 13.77 10.93–16.60 10.17–17.36 | 15.94 13.00–18.89 12.25–19.64 | 29.71 23.93–35.49 22.42–37.00 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.87 | 2.12 1.03–3.21 0.74–3.50 | 3.53 1.28–5.78 0.69–6.37 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 2.35 1.30–3.40 1.03–3.66 | 2.93 1.80–4.06 1.51–4.35 | 5.27 3.10–7.45 2.54–8.01 | 32% 17% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.29 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.92 | 77% |
| GK saves | 2.69 1.26–4.13 0.87–4.52 | 2.84 1.28–4.39 0.86–4.82 | 5.53 2.54–8.53 1.73–9.34 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.