Premier League·Regular Season - 10·
Premier League·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
24%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.021.672.69safe0.05–1.990.82–2.520.87–4.51safer0.00–2.240.59–2.750.39–4.99
Shots on target
25%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.765.249.00safe1.90–5.623.50–6.995.40–12.61safer1.41–6.113.03–7.454.44–13.56
Total shots
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0814.2725.35safe7.16–15.0110.71–17.8317.86–32.84safer6.07–16.109.75–18.7915.81–34.89
Shots in box
25%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction6.909.1516.06safe3.96–9.856.47–11.8310.43–21.68safer3.13–10.685.74–12.578.87–23.25
Blocked shots
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.043.346.37safe1.16–4.921.68–4.992.84–9.91safer0.61–5.461.19–5.481.80–10.95
Corners
28%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction4.215.479.69safe2.00–6.433.47–7.475.47–13.90safer1.42–7.002.94–8.014.37–15.01
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction40.8759.23safe34.08–47.6652.45–66.02safer32.41–49.3350.77–67.69
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction344485829safe277–411419–552696–963safer259–429401–569660–999
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction64.0677.50safe60.03–68.0973.18–81.83safer58.74–69.3871.87–83.14
Fouls
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4914.3130.80safe13.66–19.3311.37–17.2625.02–36.59safer12.90–20.0910.62–18.0023.52–38.09
Offsides
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.003.71safe0.55–2.870.91–3.091.46–5.97safer0.25–3.170.62–3.380.87–6.55
Yellow cards
46%
18%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.772.505.27safe1.72–3.821.37–3.633.09–7.45safer1.46–4.091.08–3.922.53–8.00
Red cards
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.180.130.31safe0.02–0.340.00–0.310.00–0.65safer0.00–0.490.00–0.450.00–0.94
GK saves
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.382.766.14safe1.94–4.821.20–4.313.14–9.13safer1.56–5.200.78–4.742.33–9.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.02 0.05–1.99 0.00–2.24 | 1.67 0.82–2.52 0.59–2.75 | 2.69 0.87–4.51 0.39–4.99 | 23% 24% 53% |
| Shots on target | 3.76 1.90–5.62 1.41–6.11 | 5.24 3.50–6.99 3.03–7.45 | 9.00 5.40–12.61 4.44–13.56 | 25% 63% |
| Total shots | 11.08 7.16–15.01 6.07–16.10 | 14.27 10.71–17.83 9.75–18.79 | 25.35 17.86–32.84 15.81–34.89 | 23% 70% |
| Shots in box | 6.90 3.96–9.85 3.13–10.68 | 9.15 6.47–11.83 5.74–12.57 | 16.06 10.43–21.68 8.87–23.25 | 25% 67% |
| Blocked shots | 3.04 1.16–4.92 0.61–5.46 | 3.34 1.68–4.99 1.19–5.48 | 6.37 2.84–9.91 1.80–10.95 | 37% 16% 47% |
| Corners | 4.21 2.00–6.43 1.42–7.00 | 5.47 3.47–7.47 2.94–8.01 | 9.69 5.47–13.90 4.37–15.01 | 28% 60% |
| Possession % | 40.87 34.08–47.66 32.41–49.33 | 59.23 52.45–66.02 50.77–67.69 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 344 277–411 259–429 | 485 419–552 401–569 | 829 696–963 660–999 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.06 60.03–68.09 58.74–69.38 | 77.50 73.18–81.83 71.87–83.14 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 16.49 13.66–19.33 12.90–20.09 | 14.31 11.37–17.26 10.62–18.00 | 30.80 25.02–36.59 23.52–38.09 | 62% 31% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 2.00 0.91–3.09 0.62–3.38 | 3.71 1.46–5.97 0.87–6.55 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 2.77 1.72–3.82 1.46–4.09 | 2.50 1.37–3.63 1.08–3.92 | 5.27 3.09–7.45 2.53–8.00 | 46% 18% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.18 0.02–0.34 0.00–0.49 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.31 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.94 | 14% 75% |
| GK saves | 3.38 1.94–4.82 1.56–5.20 | 2.76 1.20–4.31 0.78–4.74 | 6.14 3.14–9.13 2.33–9.94 | 52% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+