Premier League·Regular Season - 29·
Premier League·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
18%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.300.993.29safe1.33–3.270.14–1.851.47–5.11safer1.08–3.520.00–2.080.99–5.59
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.743.259.99safe4.88–8.601.51–4.996.38–13.59safer4.39–9.091.04–5.465.43–14.55
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction18.039.3827.41safe14.11–21.965.82–12.9419.92–34.90safer13.02–23.054.86–13.9017.87–36.95
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction11.915.6317.55safe8.97–14.862.95–8.3111.92–23.17safer8.14–15.692.22–9.0510.36–24.74
Blocked shots
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.782.657.43safe2.90–6.661.00–4.303.89–10.96safer2.35–7.210.50–4.792.86–12.00
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.863.089.95safe4.65–9.081.08–5.085.73–14.16safer4.08–9.650.55–5.624.63–15.27
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.6338.40safe54.84–68.4231.61–45.18safer53.17–70.0929.94–46.85
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction548338886safe481–615271–404752–1019safer463–633254–422716–1055
Pass accuracy %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction76.0569.16safe72.02–80.0864.83–73.48safer70.72–81.3763.53–74.79
Fouls
28%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9715.6328.60safe10.13–15.8112.69–18.5822.82–34.39safer9.38–16.5711.94–19.3321.32–35.89
Offsides
55%
21%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.313.37safe0.89–3.210.22–2.411.11–5.62safer0.59–3.520.00–2.690.52–6.21
Yellow cards
21%
17%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.702.864.56safe0.65–2.751.73–3.992.38–6.74safer0.38–3.021.44–4.281.82–7.29
Red cards
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.160.24safe0.00–0.250.00–0.340.00–0.59safer0.00–0.400.00–0.480.00–0.87
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.324.276.59safe0.88–3.752.71–5.823.59–9.58safer0.49–4.142.29–6.252.78–10.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.30 1.33–3.27 1.08–3.52 | 0.99 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 3.29 1.47–5.11 0.99–5.59 | 67% 18% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.74 4.88–8.60 4.39–9.09 | 3.25 1.51–4.99 1.04–5.46 | 9.99 6.38–13.59 5.43–14.55 | 83% |
| Total shots | 18.03 14.11–21.96 13.02–23.05 | 9.38 5.82–12.94 4.86–13.90 | 27.41 19.92–34.90 17.87–36.95 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.91 8.97–14.86 8.14–15.69 | 5.63 2.95–8.31 2.22–9.05 | 17.55 11.92–23.17 10.36–24.74 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 4.78 2.90–6.66 2.35–7.21 | 2.65 1.00–4.30 0.50–4.79 | 7.43 3.89–10.96 2.86–12.00 | 73% 16% |
| Corners | 6.86 4.65–9.08 4.08–9.65 | 3.08 1.08–5.08 0.55–5.62 | 9.95 5.73–14.16 4.63–15.27 | 85% |
| Possession % | 61.63 54.84–68.42 53.17–70.09 | 38.40 31.61–45.18 29.94–46.85 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 548 481–615 463–633 | 338 271–404 254–422 | 886 752–1019 716–1055 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.05 72.02–80.08 70.72–81.37 | 69.16 64.83–73.48 63.53–74.79 | — | 80% 17% |
| Fouls | 12.97 10.13–15.81 9.38–16.57 | 15.63 12.69–18.58 11.94–19.33 | 28.60 22.82–34.39 21.32–35.89 | 28% 66% |
| Offsides | 2.05 0.89–3.21 0.59–3.52 | 1.31 0.22–2.41 0.00–2.69 | 3.37 1.11–5.62 0.52–6.21 | 55% 21% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.38–3.02 | 2.86 1.73–3.99 1.44–4.28 | 4.56 2.38–6.74 1.82–7.29 | 21% 17% 62% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.48 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 79% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.32 0.88–3.75 0.49–4.14 | 4.27 2.71–5.82 2.29–6.25 | 6.59 3.59–9.58 2.78–10.39 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+