Premier League·Regular Season - 10·
Premier League·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
29%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.121.102.22safe0.15–2.080.25–1.950.39–4.04safer0.00–2.340.02–2.180.00–4.52
Shots on target
49%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.933.527.45safe2.07–5.791.78–5.263.84–11.05safer1.58–6.281.31–5.732.89–12.01
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5110.6923.20safe8.58–16.437.13–14.2615.71–30.69safer7.49–17.526.17–15.2213.66–32.74
Shots in box
51%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction7.486.8314.31safe4.53–10.424.15–9.518.69–19.93safer3.70–11.253.41–10.257.12–21.50
Blocked shots
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.282.726.00safe1.39–5.161.07–4.382.46–9.53safer0.85–5.700.58–4.871.43–10.57
Corners
45%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.814.679.47safe2.59–7.022.67–6.675.26–13.69safer2.02–7.592.13–7.204.15–14.80
Possession %
37%
59%
homeawayprediction47.8852.53safe41.09–54.6745.74–59.31safer39.42–56.3444.07–60.99
Passes
41%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction347372719safe280–414306–439586–853safer262–432289–456550–889
Pass accuracy %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction58.4465.45safe54.41–62.4761.13–69.78safer53.12–63.7659.82–71.08
Fouls
48%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4715.2730.74safe12.63–18.3112.32–18.2124.95–36.52safer11.88–19.0611.57–18.9623.45–38.02
Offsides
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.723.65safe0.77–3.090.63–2.821.40–5.91safer0.47–3.390.34–3.110.81–6.50
Yellow cards
38%
18%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.622.815.43safe1.57–3.671.68–3.943.25–7.61safer1.30–3.931.39–4.232.69–8.16
Red cards
75%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.170.32safe0.00–0.310.00–0.350.00–0.67safer0.00–0.460.00–0.490.00–0.95
GK saves
37%
18%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.512.745.25safe1.08–3.951.18–4.292.26–8.24safer0.69–4.340.75–4.721.45–9.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.12 0.15–2.08 0.00–2.34 | 1.10 0.25–1.95 0.02–2.18 | 2.22 0.39–4.04 0.00–4.52 | 36% 29% 35% |
| Shots on target | 3.93 2.07–5.79 1.58–6.28 | 3.52 1.78–5.26 1.31–5.73 | 7.45 3.84–11.05 2.89–12.01 | 49% 15% 37% |
| Total shots | 12.51 8.58–16.43 7.49–17.52 | 10.69 7.13–14.26 6.17–15.22 | 23.20 15.71–30.69 13.66–32.74 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 7.48 4.53–10.42 3.70–11.25 | 6.83 4.15–9.51 3.41–10.25 | 14.31 8.69–19.93 7.12–21.50 | 51% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.28 1.39–5.16 0.85–5.70 | 2.72 1.07–4.38 0.58–4.87 | 6.00 2.46–9.53 1.43–10.57 | 51% 16% 33% |
| Corners | 4.81 2.59–7.02 2.02–7.59 | 4.67 2.67–6.67 2.13–7.20 | 9.47 5.26–13.69 4.15–14.80 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Possession % | 47.88 41.09–54.67 39.42–56.34 | 52.53 45.74–59.31 44.07–60.99 | — | 37% 59% |
| Passes | 347 280–414 262–432 | 372 306–439 289–456 | 719 586–853 550–889 | 41% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 58.44 54.41–62.47 53.12–63.76 | 65.45 61.13–69.78 59.82–71.08 | — | 17% 80% |
| Fouls | 15.47 12.63–18.31 11.88–19.06 | 15.27 12.32–18.21 11.57–18.96 | 30.74 24.95–36.52 23.45–38.02 | 48% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.93 0.77–3.09 0.47–3.39 | 1.72 0.63–2.82 0.34–3.11 | 3.65 1.40–5.91 0.81–6.50 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.62 1.57–3.67 1.30–3.93 | 2.81 1.68–3.94 1.39–4.23 | 5.43 3.25–7.61 2.69–8.16 | 38% 18% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.17 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.49 | 0.32 0.00–0.67 0.00–0.95 | 75% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.08–3.95 0.69–4.34 | 2.74 1.18–4.29 0.75–4.72 | 5.25 2.26–8.24 1.45–9.05 | 37% 18% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.