Premier League·Regular Season - 18·
Premier League·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
28%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.042.28safe0.28–2.220.18–1.890.46–4.11safer0.03–2.470.00–2.120.00–4.59
Shots on target
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.343.567.90safe2.48–6.201.82–5.314.30–11.51safer1.99–6.691.36–5.773.34–12.46
Total shots
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9510.5124.46safe10.02–17.876.95–14.0816.97–31.95safer8.93–18.965.99–15.0314.92–34.00
Shots in box
63%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction8.656.8015.45safe5.70–11.594.12–9.489.83–21.07safer4.88–12.423.38–10.228.26–22.64
Blocked shots
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.722.756.47safe1.84–5.601.10–4.412.94–10.01safer1.29–6.140.61–4.901.90–11.04
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.113.759.86safe3.89–8.321.75–5.755.65–14.07safer3.32–8.891.22–6.294.54–15.18
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction54.8444.14safe48.05–61.6337.36–50.93safer46.38–63.3035.69–52.60
Passes
80%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction413311724safe346–481244–377590–857safer328–499227–394554–893
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction62.7963.11safe58.76–66.8258.79–67.43safer57.47–68.1157.48–68.74
Fouls
30%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9816.4130.39safe11.15–16.8213.46–19.3524.61–36.17safer10.39–17.5812.71–20.1023.10–37.68
Offsides
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.883.67safe0.63–2.950.79–2.981.42–5.93safer0.33–3.250.50–3.270.83–6.52
Yellow cards
31%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.292.935.22safe1.24–3.341.80–4.053.04–7.40safer0.98–3.611.51–4.352.48–7.95
Red cards
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.180.32safe0.00–0.300.00–0.370.00–0.66safer0.00–0.450.00–0.500.00–0.95
GK saves
32%
18%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.352.865.21safe0.91–3.781.31–4.422.22–8.20safer0.52–4.170.88–4.851.41–9.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.04 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 2.28 0.46–4.11 0.00–4.59 | 41% 28% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.34 2.48–6.20 1.99–6.69 | 3.56 1.82–5.31 1.36–5.77 | 7.90 4.30–11.51 3.34–12.46 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Total shots | 13.95 10.02–17.87 8.93–18.96 | 10.51 6.95–14.08 5.99–15.03 | 24.46 16.97–31.95 14.92–34.00 | 72% 21% |
| Shots in box | 8.65 5.70–11.59 4.88–12.42 | 6.80 4.12–9.48 3.38–10.22 | 15.45 9.83–21.07 8.26–22.64 | 63% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 3.72 1.84–5.60 1.29–6.14 | 2.75 1.10–4.41 0.61–4.90 | 6.47 2.94–10.01 1.90–11.04 | 57% 15% 28% |
| Corners | 6.11 3.89–8.32 3.32–8.89 | 3.75 1.75–5.75 1.22–6.29 | 9.86 5.65–14.07 4.54–15.18 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 54.84 48.05–61.63 46.38–63.30 | 44.14 37.36–50.93 35.69–52.60 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 413 346–481 328–499 | 311 244–377 227–394 | 724 590–857 554–893 | 80% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.79 58.76–66.82 57.47–68.11 | 63.11 58.79–67.43 57.48–68.74 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 13.98 11.15–16.82 10.39–17.58 | 16.41 13.46–19.35 12.71–20.10 | 30.39 24.61–36.17 23.10–37.68 | 30% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.33–3.25 | 1.88 0.79–2.98 0.50–3.27 | 3.67 1.42–5.93 0.83–6.52 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 2.29 1.24–3.34 0.98–3.61 | 2.93 1.80–4.05 1.51–4.35 | 5.22 3.04–7.40 2.48–7.95 | 31% 17% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.18 0.00–0.37 0.00–0.50 | 0.32 0.00–0.66 0.00–0.95 | 75% 15% |
| GK saves | 2.35 0.91–3.78 0.52–4.17 | 2.86 1.31–4.42 0.88–4.85 | 5.21 2.22–8.20 1.41–9.02 | 32% 18% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+