Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
22%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction0.941.912.85safe0.00–1.911.05–2.761.03–4.67safer0.00–2.160.82–2.990.55–5.15
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.995.858.84safe1.12–4.854.11–7.605.23–12.44safer0.63–5.343.64–8.064.28–13.40
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction8.6615.9924.65safe4.73–12.5812.43–19.5517.16–32.14safer3.64–13.6711.47–20.5115.11–34.19
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.9010.1116.01safe2.95–8.847.43–12.7910.39–21.63safer2.13–9.676.69–13.538.82–23.20
Blocked shots
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.404.556.95safe0.52–4.282.90–6.213.42–10.49safer0.00–4.832.41–6.702.38–11.52
Corners
21%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction4.046.1210.16safe1.83–6.264.12–8.125.95–14.38safer1.26–6.833.58–8.654.84–15.48
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction39.5462.22safe32.75–46.3355.43–69.00safer31.08–48.0053.76–70.68
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction352532884safe284–419466–599750–1018safer266–437448–616714–1053
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction57.4075.43safe53.37–61.4371.11–79.76safer52.08–62.7269.80–81.07
Fouls
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0111.1925.20safe11.17–16.858.25–14.1419.42–30.99safer10.42–17.617.50–14.8917.92–32.49
Offsides
67%
15%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction3.061.594.65safe1.90–4.220.50–2.692.40–6.91safer1.60–4.520.21–2.981.81–7.50
Yellow cards
48%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.573.58safe0.96–3.060.45–2.701.41–5.76safer0.69–3.320.15–3.000.85–6.32
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.110.23safe0.00–0.280.00–0.290.00–0.57safer0.00–0.430.00–0.430.00–0.86
GK saves
69%
13%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction3.832.135.97safe2.40–5.270.58–3.692.97–8.96safer2.01–5.660.15–4.112.16–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.94 0.00–1.91 0.00–2.16 | 1.91 1.05–2.76 0.82–2.99 | 2.85 1.03–4.67 0.55–5.15 | 18% 22% 60% |
| Shots on target | 2.99 1.12–4.85 0.63–5.34 | 5.85 4.11–7.60 3.64–8.06 | 8.84 5.23–12.44 4.28–13.40 | 79% |
| Total shots | 8.66 4.73–12.58 3.64–13.67 | 15.99 12.43–19.55 11.47–20.51 | 24.65 17.16–32.14 15.11–34.19 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 5.90 2.95–8.84 2.13–9.67 | 10.11 7.43–12.79 6.69–13.53 | 16.01 10.39–21.63 8.82–23.20 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 2.40 0.52–4.28 0.00–4.83 | 4.55 2.90–6.21 2.41–6.70 | 6.95 3.42–10.49 2.38–11.52 | 15% 73% |
| Corners | 4.04 1.83–6.26 1.26–6.83 | 6.12 4.12–8.12 3.58–8.65 | 10.16 5.95–14.38 4.84–15.48 | 21% 69% |
| Possession % | 39.54 32.75–46.33 31.08–48.00 | 62.22 55.43–69.00 53.76–70.68 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 352 284–419 266–437 | 532 466–599 448–616 | 884 750–1018 714–1053 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 57.40 53.37–61.43 52.08–62.72 | 75.43 71.11–79.76 69.80–81.07 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 14.01 11.17–16.85 10.42–17.61 | 11.19 8.25–14.14 7.50–14.89 | 25.20 19.42–30.99 17.92–32.49 | 68% 25% |
| Offsides | 3.06 1.90–4.22 1.60–4.52 | 1.59 0.50–2.69 0.21–2.98 | 4.65 2.40–6.91 1.81–7.50 | 67% 15% 17% |
| Yellow cards | 2.01 0.96–3.06 0.69–3.32 | 1.57 0.45–2.70 0.15–3.00 | 3.58 1.41–5.76 0.85–6.32 | 48% 22% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.83 2.40–5.27 2.01–5.66 | 2.13 0.58–3.69 0.15–4.11 | 5.97 2.97–8.96 2.16–9.77 | 69% 13% 18% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+