Predicted match statistics
Goals
68%
19%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.180.853.03safe1.21–3.150.00–1.711.21–4.85safer0.96–3.400.00–1.930.73–5.33
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.312.538.85safe4.45–8.180.79–4.285.24–12.45safer3.96–8.670.32–4.744.29–13.41
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction17.837.3525.18safe13.90–21.753.79–10.9217.69–32.67safer12.81–22.842.83–11.8715.64–34.72
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction11.505.3216.82safe8.56–14.442.63–8.0011.19–22.44safer7.73–15.271.90–8.739.63–24.01
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction4.781.686.46safe2.90–6.660.03–3.342.93–10.00safer2.35–7.210.00–3.831.89–11.03
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.633.019.64safe4.41–8.841.01–5.015.43–13.85safer3.84–9.410.48–5.554.32–14.96
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.1537.20safe55.36–68.9430.41–43.98safer53.69–70.6128.74–45.65
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction571334905safe503–638268–401771–1039safer485–656250–418736–1074
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction74.9763.93safe70.94–79.0059.61–68.26safer69.65–80.2958.30–69.57
Fouls
18%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9615.0926.05safe8.12–13.8012.15–18.0420.27–31.83safer7.37–14.5511.40–18.7918.77–33.34
Offsides
16%
15%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.503.084.58safe0.34–2.661.99–4.182.33–6.83safer0.04–2.961.70–4.461.74–7.42
Yellow cards
17%
18%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction1.222.523.74safe0.18–2.271.39–3.651.57–5.92safer0.00–2.541.10–3.941.01–6.48
Red cards
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.150.20safe0.00–0.220.00–0.330.00–0.55safer0.00–0.370.00–0.470.00–0.83
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction1.774.266.03safe0.34–3.212.70–5.813.04–9.03safer0.00–3.602.28–6.242.23–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.18 1.21–3.15 0.96–3.40 | 0.85 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.93 | 3.03 1.21–4.85 0.73–5.33 | 68% 19% 13% |
| Shots on target | 6.31 4.45–8.18 3.96–8.67 | 2.53 0.79–4.28 0.32–4.74 | 8.85 5.24–12.45 4.29–13.41 | 87% |
| Total shots | 17.83 13.90–21.75 12.81–22.84 | 7.35 3.79–10.92 2.83–11.87 | 25.18 17.69–32.67 15.64–34.72 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 11.50 8.56–14.44 7.73–15.27 | 5.32 2.63–8.00 1.90–8.73 | 16.82 11.19–22.44 9.63–24.01 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 4.78 2.90–6.66 2.35–7.21 | 1.68 0.03–3.34 0.00–3.83 | 6.46 2.93–10.00 1.89–11.03 | 85% |
| Corners | 6.63 4.41–8.84 3.84–9.41 | 3.01 1.01–5.01 0.48–5.55 | 9.64 5.43–13.85 4.32–14.96 | 85% |
| Possession % | 62.15 55.36–68.94 53.69–70.61 | 37.20 30.41–43.98 28.74–45.65 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 571 503–638 485–656 | 334 268–401 250–418 | 905 771–1039 736–1074 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.97 70.94–79.00 69.65–80.29 | 63.93 59.61–68.26 58.30–69.57 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 10.96 8.12–13.80 7.37–14.55 | 15.09 12.15–18.04 11.40–18.79 | 26.05 20.27–31.83 18.77–33.34 | 18% 76% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 3.08 1.99–4.18 1.70–4.46 | 4.58 2.33–6.83 1.74–7.42 | 16% 15% 69% |
| Yellow cards | 1.22 0.18–2.27 0.00–2.54 | 2.52 1.39–3.65 1.10–3.94 | 3.74 1.57–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 17% 18% 66% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% 13% |
| GK saves | 1.77 0.34–3.21 0.00–3.60 | 4.26 2.70–5.81 2.28–6.24 | 6.03 3.04–9.03 2.23–9.84 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+