Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
27%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.410.932.34safe0.44–2.380.08–1.790.52–4.16safer0.19–2.630.00–2.020.04–4.64
Shots on target
61%
13%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.453.207.65safe2.59–6.311.46–4.944.05–11.26safer2.10–6.800.99–5.413.09–12.21
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction13.439.3522.78safe9.51–17.365.79–12.9115.30–30.27safer8.42–18.454.83–13.8713.24–32.32
Shots in box
74%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction8.335.4613.79safe5.39–11.272.78–8.148.17–19.42safer4.56–12.102.04–8.886.60–20.98
Blocked shots
62%
15%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.322.095.41safe1.44–5.210.44–3.741.88–8.95safer0.90–5.750.00–4.230.84–9.98
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.553.909.45safe3.34–7.771.90–5.905.24–13.67safer2.77–8.341.37–6.434.13–14.77
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction54.1146.79safe47.31–60.9040.00–53.57safer45.65–62.5638.33–55.25
Passes
69%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction391332722safe323–458265–398589–856safer305–476248–416553–892
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction59.7961.15safe55.76–63.8256.83–65.48safer54.47–65.1155.52–66.79
Fouls
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4715.6330.10safe11.63–17.3012.69–18.5824.32–35.88safer10.87–18.0611.94–19.3322.81–37.39
Offsides
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.813.26safe0.30–2.620.71–2.901.01–5.52safer0.00–2.920.42–3.190.42–6.11
Yellow cards
34%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.512.935.44safe1.46–3.561.80–4.063.26–7.61safer1.19–3.831.51–4.352.70–8.17
Red cards
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.160.31safe0.00–0.310.00–0.340.00–0.65safer0.00–0.460.00–0.480.00–0.94
GK saves
27%
17%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.233.085.31safe0.79–3.661.52–4.642.31–8.30safer0.40–4.051.10–5.061.50–9.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.41 0.44–2.38 0.19–2.63 | 0.93 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 2.34 0.52–4.16 0.04–4.64 | 48% 27% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.45 2.59–6.31 2.10–6.80 | 3.20 1.46–4.94 0.99–5.41 | 7.65 4.05–11.26 3.09–12.21 | 61% 13% 26% |
| Total shots | 13.43 9.51–17.36 8.42–18.45 | 9.35 5.79–12.91 4.83–13.87 | 22.78 15.30–30.27 13.24–32.32 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 8.33 5.39–11.27 4.56–12.10 | 5.46 2.78–8.14 2.04–8.88 | 13.79 8.17–19.42 6.60–20.98 | 74% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 3.32 1.44–5.21 0.90–5.75 | 2.09 0.44–3.74 0.00–4.23 | 5.41 1.88–8.95 0.84–9.98 | 62% 15% 22% |
| Corners | 5.55 3.34–7.77 2.77–8.34 | 3.90 1.90–5.90 1.37–6.43 | 9.45 5.24–13.67 4.13–14.77 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 54.11 47.31–60.90 45.65–62.56 | 46.79 40.00–53.57 38.33–55.25 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 391 323–458 305–476 | 332 265–398 248–416 | 722 589–856 553–892 | 69% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.79 55.76–63.82 54.47–65.11 | 61.15 56.83–65.48 55.52–66.79 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 14.47 11.63–17.30 10.87–18.06 | 15.63 12.69–18.58 11.94–19.33 | 30.10 24.32–35.88 22.81–37.39 | 38% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 1.81 0.71–2.90 0.42–3.19 | 3.26 1.01–5.52 0.42–6.11 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 2.51 1.46–3.56 1.19–3.83 | 2.93 1.80–4.06 1.51–4.35 | 5.44 3.26–7.61 2.70–8.17 | 34% 17% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.16 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.48 | 0.31 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.94 | 75% |
| GK saves | 2.23 0.79–3.66 0.40–4.05 | 3.08 1.52–4.64 1.10–5.06 | 5.31 2.31–8.30 1.50–9.11 | 27% 17% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.