Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
29%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.031.172.20safe0.07–2.000.31–2.020.38–4.02safer0.00–2.250.08–2.250.00–4.50
Shots on target
40%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.753.967.71safe1.88–5.612.22–5.704.10–11.31safer1.39–6.101.75–6.173.15–12.27
Total shots
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4111.4322.84safe7.49–15.347.86–14.9915.35–30.33safer6.40–16.436.90–15.9513.30–32.38
Shots in box
49%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction7.437.0414.47safe4.49–10.374.36–9.728.85–20.10safer3.66–11.203.62–10.467.28–21.66
Blocked shots
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.693.095.78safe0.81–4.571.44–4.752.25–9.32safer0.26–5.110.95–5.241.21–10.35
Corners
43%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.414.458.86safe2.20–6.632.45–6.454.65–13.08safer1.63–7.201.92–6.983.54–14.18
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction49.3550.88safe42.56–56.1444.10–57.67safer40.89–57.8142.43–59.34
Passes
60%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction381349730safe314–448283–416596–864safer296–466265–433561–899
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction58.8361.96safe54.80–62.8657.63–66.28safer53.51–64.1556.32–67.59
Fouls
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4315.4629.89safe11.59–17.2712.52–18.4124.11–35.68safer10.84–18.0211.77–19.1622.61–37.18
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.333.09safe0.61–2.930.23–2.420.84–5.35safer0.31–3.230.00–2.710.25–5.94
Yellow cards
31%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.292.895.18safe1.24–3.341.76–4.023.00–7.36safer0.97–3.601.47–4.312.44–7.91
Red cards
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.170.31safe0.00–0.290.00–0.360.00–0.65safer0.00–0.440.00–0.490.00–0.94
GK saves
39%
18%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.592.705.30safe1.16–4.031.15–4.262.30–8.29safer0.77–4.420.72–4.681.49–9.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.03 0.07–2.00 0.00–2.25 | 1.17 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.25 | 2.20 0.38–4.02 0.00–4.50 | 32% 29% 39% |
| Shots on target | 3.75 1.88–5.61 1.39–6.10 | 3.96 2.22–5.70 1.75–6.17 | 7.71 4.10–11.31 3.15–12.27 | 40% 15% 46% |
| Total shots | 11.41 7.49–15.34 6.40–16.43 | 11.43 7.86–14.99 6.90–15.95 | 22.84 15.35–30.33 13.30–32.38 | 46% 46% |
| Shots in box | 7.43 4.49–10.37 3.66–11.20 | 7.04 4.36–9.72 3.62–10.46 | 14.47 8.85–20.10 7.28–21.66 | 49% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 2.69 0.81–4.57 0.26–5.11 | 3.09 1.44–4.75 0.95–5.24 | 5.78 2.25–9.32 1.21–10.35 | 35% 17% 48% |
| Corners | 4.41 2.20–6.63 1.63–7.20 | 4.45 2.45–6.45 1.92–6.98 | 8.86 4.65–13.08 3.54–14.18 | 43% 14% 44% |
| Possession % | 49.35 42.56–56.14 40.89–57.81 | 50.88 44.10–57.67 42.43–59.34 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 381 314–448 296–466 | 349 283–416 265–433 | 730 596–864 561–899 | 60% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 58.83 54.80–62.86 53.51–64.15 | 61.96 57.63–66.28 56.32–67.59 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 14.43 11.59–17.27 10.84–18.02 | 15.46 12.52–18.41 11.77–19.16 | 29.89 24.11–35.68 22.61–37.18 | 39% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 1.33 0.23–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 3.09 0.84–5.35 0.25–5.94 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 2.29 1.24–3.34 0.97–3.60 | 2.89 1.76–4.02 1.47–4.31 | 5.18 3.00–7.36 2.44–7.91 | 31% 17% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.17 0.00–0.36 0.00–0.49 | 0.31 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.94 | 75% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.59 1.16–4.03 0.77–4.42 | 2.70 1.15–4.26 0.72–4.68 | 5.30 2.30–8.29 1.49–9.10 | 39% 18% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.