Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.410.833.23safe1.44–3.370.00–1.681.41–5.06safer1.19–3.630.00–1.910.93–5.54
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.683.139.81safe4.82–8.541.39–4.876.20–13.41safer4.33–9.030.92–5.345.25–14.37
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction17.368.9926.35safe13.44–21.295.43–12.5518.87–33.84safer12.35–22.384.47–13.5116.82–35.89
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.535.5517.08safe8.59–14.482.87–8.2311.46–22.71safer7.76–15.302.13–8.979.89–24.27
Blocked shots
73%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.572.437.00safe2.69–6.450.77–4.083.46–10.53safer2.15–7.000.28–4.572.43–11.57
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.873.4410.32safe4.66–9.081.44–5.446.10–14.53safer4.08–9.660.91–5.984.99–15.64
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.4438.40safe54.65–68.2331.62–45.19safer52.98–69.9029.94–46.86
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction533313846safe466–600247–379712–980safer448–618229–397677–1015
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction80.0969.54safe76.06–84.1265.21–73.86safer74.77–85.4163.90–75.17
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5315.5228.05safe9.70–15.3712.58–18.4622.27–33.84safer8.94–16.1311.83–19.2120.77–35.34
Offsides
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.393.04safe0.49–2.810.30–2.480.79–5.29safer0.19–3.110.01–2.770.20–5.88
Yellow cards
25%
18%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.802.694.49safe0.75–2.851.56–3.822.31–6.67safer0.48–3.121.27–4.111.76–7.23
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.130.20safe0.00–0.230.00–0.320.00–0.55safer0.00–0.380.00–0.450.00–0.83
GK saves
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.383.876.25safe0.94–3.822.32–5.433.26–9.25safer0.56–4.201.89–5.862.45–10.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.41 1.44–3.37 1.19–3.63 | 0.83 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 3.23 1.41–5.06 0.93–5.54 | 72% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.68 4.82–8.54 4.33–9.03 | 3.13 1.39–4.87 0.92–5.34 | 9.81 6.20–13.41 5.25–14.37 | 84% |
| Total shots | 17.36 13.44–21.29 12.35–22.38 | 8.99 5.43–12.55 4.47–13.51 | 26.35 18.87–33.84 16.82–35.89 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.53 8.59–14.48 7.76–15.30 | 5.55 2.87–8.23 2.13–8.97 | 17.08 11.46–22.71 9.89–24.27 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.57 2.69–6.45 2.15–7.00 | 2.43 0.77–4.08 0.28–4.57 | 7.00 3.46–10.53 2.43–11.57 | 73% 15% |
| Corners | 6.87 4.66–9.08 4.08–9.66 | 3.44 1.44–5.44 0.91–5.98 | 10.32 6.10–14.53 4.99–15.64 | 82% |
| Possession % | 61.44 54.65–68.23 52.98–69.90 | 38.40 31.62–45.19 29.94–46.86 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 533 466–600 448–618 | 313 247–379 229–397 | 846 712–980 677–1015 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.09 76.06–84.12 74.77–85.41 | 69.54 65.21–73.86 63.90–75.17 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 12.53 9.70–15.37 8.94–16.13 | 15.52 12.58–18.46 11.83–19.21 | 28.05 22.27–33.84 20.77–35.34 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 1.39 0.30–2.48 0.01–2.77 | 3.04 0.79–5.29 0.20–5.88 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.48–3.12 | 2.69 1.56–3.82 1.27–4.11 | 4.49 2.31–6.67 1.76–7.23 | 25% 18% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.94–3.82 0.56–4.20 | 3.87 2.32–5.43 1.89–5.86 | 6.25 3.26–9.25 2.45–10.06 | 21% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.