Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
21%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.152.003.15safe0.18–2.111.15–2.861.33–4.97safer0.00–2.360.92–3.090.85–5.45
Shots on target
31%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.125.109.22safe2.25–5.983.36–6.845.61–12.82safer1.76–6.472.89–7.314.66–13.78
Total shots
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0913.4225.51safe8.16–16.019.86–16.9918.02–33.00safer7.07–17.118.90–17.9415.97–35.05
Shots in box
21%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction6.799.5716.36safe3.85–9.736.89–12.2510.73–21.98safer3.02–10.566.15–12.999.17–23.55
Blocked shots
28%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.194.307.49safe1.31–5.072.64–5.953.95–11.03safer0.77–5.622.15–6.442.92–12.06
Corners
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.685.199.88safe2.47–6.903.19–7.195.66–14.09safer1.90–7.472.66–7.734.55–15.20
Possession %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction41.7058.87safe34.91–48.4952.09–65.66safer33.24–50.1650.42–67.33
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction339494832safe271–406427–560699–966safer253–424410–578663–1002
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction66.1078.28safe62.07–70.1373.96–82.60safer60.78–71.4272.65–83.91
Fouls
50%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2514.7730.01safe12.41–18.0911.82–17.7124.23–35.80safer11.66–18.8411.07–18.4622.73–37.30
Offsides
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.463.04safe0.42–2.740.36–2.550.78–5.29safer0.12–3.040.07–2.840.19–5.88
Yellow cards
44%
19%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.332.134.46safe1.28–3.381.01–3.262.28–6.64safer1.01–3.640.71–3.551.73–7.20
Red cards
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.190.110.30safe0.03–0.350.00–0.300.00–0.65safer0.00–0.500.00–0.430.00–0.93
GK saves
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.352.866.22safe1.92–4.791.31–4.423.23–9.21safer1.53–5.180.88–4.842.41–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.11 0.00–2.36 | 2.00 1.15–2.86 0.92–3.09 | 3.15 1.33–4.97 0.85–5.45 | 21% 21% 57% |
| Shots on target | 4.12 2.25–5.98 1.76–6.47 | 5.10 3.36–6.84 2.89–7.31 | 9.22 5.61–12.82 4.66–13.78 | 31% 56% |
| Total shots | 12.09 8.16–16.01 7.07–17.11 | 13.42 9.86–16.99 8.90–17.94 | 25.51 18.02–33.00 15.97–35.05 | 36% 57% |
| Shots in box | 6.79 3.85–9.73 3.02–10.56 | 9.57 6.89–12.25 6.15–12.99 | 16.36 10.73–21.98 9.17–23.55 | 21% 71% |
| Blocked shots | 3.19 1.31–5.07 0.77–5.62 | 4.30 2.64–5.95 2.15–6.44 | 7.49 3.95–11.03 2.92–12.06 | 28% 14% 59% |
| Corners | 4.68 2.47–6.90 1.90–7.47 | 5.19 3.19–7.19 2.66–7.73 | 9.88 5.66–14.09 4.55–15.20 | 37% 50% |
| Possession % | 41.70 34.91–48.49 33.24–50.16 | 58.87 52.09–65.66 50.42–67.33 | — | 14% 83% |
| Passes | 339 271–406 253–424 | 494 427–560 410–578 | 832 699–966 663–1002 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.10 62.07–70.13 60.78–71.42 | 78.28 73.96–82.60 72.65–83.91 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 15.25 12.41–18.09 11.66–18.84 | 14.77 11.82–17.71 11.07–18.46 | 30.01 24.23–35.80 22.73–37.30 | 50% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 1.46 0.36–2.55 0.07–2.84 | 3.04 0.78–5.29 0.19–5.88 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.33 1.28–3.38 1.01–3.64 | 2.13 1.01–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 4.46 2.28–6.64 1.73–7.20 | 44% 19% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.19 0.03–0.35 0.00–0.50 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.30 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.93 | 16% 75% |
| GK saves | 3.35 1.92–4.79 1.53–5.18 | 2.86 1.31–4.42 0.88–4.84 | 6.22 3.23–9.21 2.41–10.02 | 50% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.