Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
28%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.072.36safe0.31–2.250.22–1.930.53–4.18safer0.06–2.500.00–2.160.05–4.66
Shots on target
58%
13%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.533.467.99safe2.67–6.391.71–5.204.38–11.59safer2.18–6.881.25–5.673.43–12.55
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2010.3924.60safe10.28–18.136.83–13.9517.11–32.08safer9.19–19.225.87–14.9115.06–34.13
Shots in box
67%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction8.656.4415.08safe5.71–11.593.76–9.129.46–20.71safer4.88–12.423.02–9.857.89–22.27
Blocked shots
53%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.232.515.73safe1.34–5.110.85–4.162.20–9.27safer0.80–5.650.36–4.651.16–10.30
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.193.929.11safe2.97–7.401.92–5.924.90–13.32safer2.40–7.971.39–6.463.79–14.43
Possession %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction46.2954.45safe39.50–53.0847.67–61.24safer37.83–54.7546.00–62.91
Passes
29%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction363431794safe296–431364–497660–928safer278–449347–515625–963
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction61.6267.33safe57.59–65.6563.01–71.66safer56.30–66.9461.70–72.96
Fouls
45%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2515.4830.73safe12.41–18.0912.53–18.4224.94–36.51safer11.66–18.8411.78–19.1723.44–38.01
Offsides
50%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.383.29safe0.75–3.070.28–2.471.03–5.54safer0.45–3.370.00–2.760.44–6.13
Yellow cards
35%
18%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.392.785.17safe1.35–3.441.65–3.913.00–7.35safer1.08–3.711.36–4.202.44–7.91
Red cards
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.180.33safe0.00–0.310.00–0.370.00–0.68safer0.00–0.460.00–0.500.00–0.96
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.523.345.86safe1.08–3.951.79–4.902.87–8.85safer0.69–4.341.36–5.322.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.31–2.25 0.06–2.50 | 1.07 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.36 0.53–4.18 0.05–4.66 | 41% 28% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.53 2.67–6.39 2.18–6.88 | 3.46 1.71–5.20 1.25–5.67 | 7.99 4.38–11.59 3.43–12.55 | 58% 13% 29% |
| Total shots | 14.20 10.28–18.13 9.19–19.22 | 10.39 6.83–13.95 5.87–14.91 | 24.60 17.11–32.08 15.06–34.13 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 8.65 5.71–11.59 4.88–12.42 | 6.44 3.76–9.12 3.02–9.85 | 15.08 9.46–20.71 7.89–22.27 | 67% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 3.23 1.34–5.11 0.80–5.65 | 2.51 0.85–4.16 0.36–4.65 | 5.73 2.20–9.27 1.16–10.30 | 53% 16% 30% |
| Corners | 5.19 2.97–7.40 2.40–7.97 | 3.92 1.92–5.92 1.39–6.46 | 9.11 4.90–13.32 3.79–14.43 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 46.29 39.50–53.08 37.83–54.75 | 54.45 47.67–61.24 46.00–62.91 | — | 29% 66% |
| Passes | 363 296–431 278–449 | 431 364–497 347–515 | 794 660–928 625–963 | 29% 71% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.62 57.59–65.65 56.30–66.94 | 67.33 63.01–71.66 61.70–72.96 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 15.25 12.41–18.09 11.66–18.84 | 15.48 12.53–18.42 11.78–19.17 | 30.73 24.94–36.51 23.44–38.01 | 45% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.91 0.75–3.07 0.45–3.37 | 1.38 0.28–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 3.29 1.03–5.54 0.44–6.13 | 50% 22% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.39 1.35–3.44 1.08–3.71 | 2.78 1.65–3.91 1.36–4.20 | 5.17 3.00–7.35 2.44–7.91 | 35% 18% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.18 0.00–0.37 0.00–0.50 | 0.33 0.00–0.68 0.00–0.96 | 74% 15% |
| GK saves | 2.52 1.08–3.95 0.69–4.34 | 3.34 1.79–4.90 1.36–5.32 | 5.86 2.87–8.85 2.05–9.66 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.