Premier League·Regular Season - 12·
Premier League·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.380.623.00safe1.41–3.350.00–1.471.18–4.82safer1.16–3.600.00–1.700.70–5.30
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.372.518.88safe4.51–8.240.77–4.255.28–12.49safer4.02–8.730.30–4.724.32–13.45
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction16.677.4124.08safe12.75–20.603.85–10.9716.59–31.57safer11.66–21.692.89–11.9314.54–33.62
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction11.514.8016.32safe8.57–14.452.12–7.4810.69–21.94safer7.74–15.281.38–8.229.12–23.51
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction4.612.096.70safe2.73–6.490.43–3.743.16–10.23safer2.18–7.040.00–4.232.13–11.27
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.033.1810.21safe4.82–9.241.18–5.186.00–14.43safer4.24–9.820.65–5.724.89–15.53
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.3634.38safe59.57–73.1527.59–41.16safer57.90–74.8225.92–42.83
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction583285869safe516–651219–352735–1002safer498–669201–369699–1038
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction79.6466.29safe75.61–83.6761.96–70.61safer74.31–84.9660.65–71.92
Fouls
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5116.4427.95safe8.68–14.3513.49–19.3822.17–33.73safer7.92–15.1112.75–20.1320.66–35.24
Offsides
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.603.49safe0.73–3.050.50–2.691.23–5.74safer0.43–3.350.22–2.980.64–6.33
Yellow cards
18%
16%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.884.42safe0.48–2.581.75–4.012.24–6.60safer0.22–2.851.46–4.301.68–7.15
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.140.21safe0.00–0.230.00–0.330.00–0.56safer0.00–0.380.00–0.460.00–0.84
GK saves
18%
14%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.023.665.67safe0.58–3.452.10–5.222.68–8.67safer0.19–3.841.68–5.641.87–9.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.38 1.41–3.35 1.16–3.60 | 0.62 0.00–1.47 0.00–1.70 | 3.00 1.18–4.82 0.70–5.30 | 77% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.37 4.51–8.24 4.02–8.73 | 2.51 0.77–4.25 0.30–4.72 | 8.88 5.28–12.49 4.32–13.45 | 88% |
| Total shots | 16.67 12.75–20.60 11.66–21.69 | 7.41 3.85–10.97 2.89–11.93 | 24.08 16.59–31.57 14.54–33.62 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 11.51 8.57–14.45 7.74–15.28 | 4.80 2.12–7.48 1.38–8.22 | 16.32 10.69–21.94 9.12–23.51 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.61 2.73–6.49 2.18–7.04 | 2.09 0.43–3.74 0.00–4.23 | 6.70 3.16–10.23 2.13–11.27 | 78% |
| Corners | 7.03 4.82–9.24 4.24–9.82 | 3.18 1.18–5.18 0.65–5.72 | 10.21 6.00–14.43 4.89–15.53 | 86% |
| Possession % | 66.36 59.57–73.15 57.90–74.82 | 34.38 27.59–41.16 25.92–42.83 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 583 516–651 498–669 | 285 219–352 201–369 | 869 735–1002 699–1038 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.64 75.61–83.67 74.31–84.96 | 66.29 61.96–70.61 60.65–71.92 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 11.51 8.68–14.35 7.92–15.11 | 16.44 13.49–19.38 12.75–20.13 | 27.95 22.17–33.73 20.66–35.24 | 15% 80% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.35 | 1.60 0.50–2.69 0.22–2.98 | 3.49 1.23–5.74 0.64–6.33 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.22–2.85 | 2.88 1.75–4.01 1.46–4.30 | 4.42 2.24–6.60 1.68–7.15 | 18% 16% 65% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.02 0.58–3.45 0.19–3.84 | 3.66 2.10–5.22 1.68–5.64 | 5.67 2.68–8.67 1.87–9.48 | 18% 14% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.