Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
25%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.610.942.55safe0.64–2.570.09–1.800.73–4.37safer0.39–2.830.00–2.030.25–4.85
Shots on target
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.233.068.28safe3.36–7.091.31–4.804.68–11.89safer2.87–7.580.85–5.263.72–12.84
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction14.898.7523.64safe10.96–18.815.19–12.3116.15–31.13safer9.87–19.914.23–13.2714.10–33.18
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction9.915.2515.15safe6.96–12.852.56–7.939.53–20.77safer6.13–13.681.83–8.667.96–22.34
Blocked shots
66%
14%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.672.165.84safe1.79–5.550.51–3.822.30–9.37safer1.25–6.100.02–4.311.26–10.41
Corners
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.993.899.88safe3.77–8.201.89–5.895.67–14.09safer3.20–8.781.36–6.424.56–15.20
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction49.4650.80safe42.67–56.2544.02–57.59safer41.00–57.9242.35–59.26
Passes
41%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction368394762safe301–435328–461629–896safer283–453310–478593–932
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction60.9965.97safe56.96–65.0261.65–70.30safer55.67–66.3260.34–71.60
Fouls
41%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1314.9029.03safe11.29–16.9711.95–17.8423.25–34.81safer10.54–17.7211.21–18.5921.74–36.32
Offsides
48%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.573.59safe0.86–3.180.48–2.661.33–5.84safer0.56–3.480.19–2.950.74–6.43
Yellow cards
40%
18%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.562.625.18safe1.51–3.611.49–3.753.00–7.36safer1.25–3.881.20–4.042.45–7.92
Red cards
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.170.30safe0.00–0.290.00–0.360.00–0.65safer0.00–0.440.00–0.490.00–0.93
GK saves
24%
16%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.143.275.41safe0.70–3.571.71–4.822.41–8.40safer0.31–3.961.29–5.251.60–9.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 0.64–2.57 0.39–2.83 | 0.94 0.09–1.80 0.00–2.03 | 2.55 0.73–4.37 0.25–4.85 | 53% 25% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.23 3.36–7.09 2.87–7.58 | 3.06 1.31–4.80 0.85–5.26 | 8.28 4.68–11.89 3.72–12.84 | 72% 17% |
| Total shots | 14.89 10.96–18.81 9.87–19.91 | 8.75 5.19–12.31 4.23–13.27 | 23.64 16.15–31.13 14.10–33.18 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 9.91 6.96–12.85 6.13–13.68 | 5.25 2.56–7.93 1.83–8.66 | 15.15 9.53–20.77 7.96–22.34 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 3.67 1.79–5.55 1.25–6.10 | 2.16 0.51–3.82 0.02–4.31 | 5.84 2.30–9.37 1.26–10.41 | 66% 14% 20% |
| Corners | 5.99 3.77–8.20 3.20–8.78 | 3.89 1.89–5.89 1.36–6.42 | 9.88 5.67–14.09 4.56–15.20 | 69% 20% |
| Possession % | 49.46 42.67–56.25 41.00–57.92 | 50.80 44.02–57.59 42.35–59.26 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 368 301–435 283–453 | 394 328–461 310–478 | 762 629–896 593–932 | 41% 59% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.99 56.96–65.02 55.67–66.32 | 65.97 61.65–70.30 60.34–71.60 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 14.13 11.29–16.97 10.54–17.72 | 14.90 11.95–17.84 11.21–18.59 | 29.03 23.25–34.81 21.74–36.32 | 41% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.56–3.48 | 1.57 0.48–2.66 0.19–2.95 | 3.59 1.33–5.84 0.74–6.43 | 48% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.56 1.51–3.61 1.25–3.88 | 2.62 1.49–3.75 1.20–4.04 | 5.18 3.00–7.36 2.45–7.92 | 40% 18% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.17 0.00–0.36 0.00–0.49 | 0.30 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.93 | 76% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.14 0.70–3.57 0.31–3.96 | 3.27 1.71–4.82 1.29–5.25 | 5.41 2.41–8.40 1.60–9.21 | 24% 16% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.