Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
26%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.482.70safe0.25–2.190.62–2.330.88–4.53safer0.00–2.440.40–2.560.40–5.00
Shots on target
31%
13%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.744.658.39safe1.88–5.602.90–6.394.78–11.99safer1.39–6.092.44–6.853.83–12.95
Total shots
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9212.3124.23safe8.00–15.858.74–15.8716.74–31.72safer6.91–16.947.78–16.8314.69–33.77
Shots in box
35%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction7.228.2215.44safe4.28–10.165.54–10.909.82–21.06safer3.45–10.994.80–11.648.25–22.63
Blocked shots
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.963.416.37safe1.08–4.841.75–5.062.83–9.90safer0.53–5.381.26–5.551.80–10.94
Corners
47%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.864.589.44safe2.64–7.072.58–6.585.23–13.65safer2.07–7.652.05–7.124.12–14.76
Possession %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction54.0845.94safe47.29–60.8739.16–52.73safer45.62–62.5437.48–54.40
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction446331777safe379–513264–397643–910safer361–531247–415607–946
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction64.0865.04safe60.05–68.1160.71–69.36safer58.76–69.4059.40–70.67
Fouls
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3914.9828.37safe10.55–16.2212.03–17.9222.58–34.15safer9.79–16.9811.29–18.6721.08–35.65
Offsides
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.893.53safe0.48–2.800.80–2.981.27–5.78safer0.18–3.100.51–3.270.68–6.37
Yellow cards
33%
18%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.232.704.93safe1.18–3.281.57–3.832.75–7.10safer0.91–3.541.28–4.122.19–7.66
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.140.28safe0.00–0.300.00–0.330.00–0.63safer0.00–0.450.00–0.460.00–0.91
GK saves
47%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.892.535.42safe1.45–4.320.97–4.092.43–8.41safer1.06–4.710.55–4.511.61–9.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.48 0.62–2.33 0.40–2.56 | 2.70 0.88–4.53 0.40–5.00 | 31% 26% 43% |
| Shots on target | 3.74 1.88–5.60 1.39–6.09 | 4.65 2.90–6.39 2.44–6.85 | 8.39 4.78–11.99 3.83–12.95 | 31% 13% 55% |
| Total shots | 11.92 8.00–15.85 6.91–16.94 | 12.31 8.74–15.87 7.78–16.83 | 24.23 16.74–31.72 14.69–33.77 | 43% 49% |
| Shots in box | 7.22 4.28–10.16 3.45–10.99 | 8.22 5.54–10.90 4.80–11.64 | 15.44 9.82–21.06 8.25–22.63 | 35% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 2.96 1.08–4.84 0.53–5.38 | 3.41 1.75–5.06 1.26–5.55 | 6.37 2.83–9.90 1.80–10.94 | 35% 16% 49% |
| Corners | 4.86 2.64–7.07 2.07–7.65 | 4.58 2.58–6.58 2.05–7.12 | 9.44 5.23–13.65 4.12–14.76 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Possession % | 54.08 47.29–60.87 45.62–62.54 | 45.94 39.16–52.73 37.48–54.40 | — | 66% 29% |
| Passes | 446 379–513 361–531 | 331 264–397 247–415 | 777 643–910 607–946 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.08 60.05–68.11 58.76–69.40 | 65.04 60.71–69.36 59.40–70.67 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 13.39 10.55–16.22 9.79–16.98 | 14.98 12.03–17.92 11.29–18.67 | 28.37 22.58–34.15 21.08–35.65 | 35% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.89 0.80–2.98 0.51–3.27 | 3.53 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.23 1.18–3.28 0.91–3.54 | 2.70 1.57–3.83 1.28–4.12 | 4.93 2.75–7.10 2.19–7.66 | 33% 18% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 77% |
| GK saves | 2.89 1.45–4.32 1.06–4.71 | 2.53 0.97–4.09 0.55–4.51 | 5.42 2.43–8.41 1.61–9.22 | 47% 17% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.