Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
28%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.290.942.24safe0.32–2.260.09–1.800.41–4.06safer0.07–2.510.00–2.030.00–4.54
Shots on target
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.053.707.76safe2.19–5.921.96–5.454.15–11.36safer1.70–6.411.50–5.913.20–12.32
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4011.5124.91safe9.47–17.327.94–15.0717.42–32.39safer8.38–18.416.98–16.0315.37–34.44
Shots in box
56%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction8.507.3515.85safe5.56–11.444.67–10.0310.23–21.47safer4.73–12.273.93–10.778.66–23.04
Blocked shots
50%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.533.056.58safe1.65–5.421.39–4.703.04–10.12safer1.11–5.960.90–5.192.01–11.15
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.784.7510.54safe3.57–7.992.75–6.756.32–14.75safer2.99–8.572.22–7.295.21–15.86
Possession %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction53.4146.93safe46.62–60.2040.15–53.72safer44.95–61.8738.48–55.39
Passes
70%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction444381825safe376–511315–448691–959safer358–529297–465656–994
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction63.7866.41safe59.75–67.8062.09–70.74safer58.45–69.1060.78–72.05
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5514.1326.68safe9.71–15.3811.19–17.0820.90–32.46safer8.95–16.1410.44–17.8319.39–33.97
Offsides
48%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.443.33safe0.73–3.050.34–2.531.08–5.58safer0.43–3.350.06–2.820.49–6.17
Yellow cards
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.742.123.86safe0.69–2.790.99–3.251.68–6.04safer0.42–3.050.70–3.541.13–6.60
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
38%
18%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.602.765.35safe1.16–4.031.20–4.312.36–8.35safer0.77–4.420.78–4.741.55–9.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.32–2.26 0.07–2.51 | 0.94 0.09–1.80 0.00–2.03 | 2.24 0.41–4.06 0.00–4.54 | 45% 28% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.05 2.19–5.92 1.70–6.41 | 3.70 1.96–5.45 1.50–5.91 | 7.76 4.15–11.36 3.20–12.32 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 13.40 9.47–17.32 8.38–18.41 | 11.51 7.94–15.07 6.98–16.03 | 24.91 17.42–32.39 15.37–34.44 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 8.50 5.56–11.44 4.73–12.27 | 7.35 4.67–10.03 3.93–10.77 | 15.85 10.23–21.47 8.66–23.04 | 56% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 3.53 1.65–5.42 1.11–5.96 | 3.05 1.39–4.70 0.90–5.19 | 6.58 3.04–10.12 2.01–11.15 | 50% 16% 35% |
| Corners | 5.78 3.57–7.99 2.99–8.57 | 4.75 2.75–6.75 2.22–7.29 | 10.54 6.32–14.75 5.21–15.86 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 53.41 46.62–60.20 44.95–61.87 | 46.93 40.15–53.72 38.48–55.39 | — | 63% 33% |
| Passes | 444 376–511 358–529 | 381 315–448 297–465 | 825 691–959 656–994 | 70% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.78 59.75–67.80 58.45–69.10 | 66.41 62.09–70.74 60.78–72.05 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 12.55 9.71–15.38 8.95–16.14 | 14.13 11.19–17.08 10.44–17.83 | 26.68 20.90–32.46 19.39–33.97 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.35 | 1.44 0.34–2.53 0.06–2.82 | 3.33 1.08–5.58 0.49–6.17 | 48% 22% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.42–3.05 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 3.86 1.68–6.04 1.13–6.60 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.60 1.16–4.03 0.77–4.42 | 2.76 1.20–4.31 0.78–4.74 | 5.35 2.36–8.35 1.55–9.16 | 38% 18% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.