Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
21%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction0.952.012.96safe0.00–1.921.15–2.861.14–4.78safer0.00–2.170.93–3.090.66–5.26
Shots on target
18%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.185.348.52safe1.32–5.053.60–7.084.92–12.13safer0.83–5.543.13–7.553.96–13.08
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9715.4525.42safe6.05–13.9011.88–19.0117.93–32.91safer4.96–14.9910.92–19.9715.88–34.96
Shots in box
14%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.2810.0316.31safe3.34–9.227.35–12.7110.69–21.93safer2.51–10.056.61–13.459.12–23.50
Blocked shots
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.394.627.01safe0.51–4.272.97–6.283.48–10.55safer0.00–4.812.48–6.772.44–11.58
Corners
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.665.689.34safe1.45–5.873.68–7.685.12–13.55safer0.87–6.453.14–8.214.02–14.66
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction37.5062.31safe30.71–44.2955.53–69.10safer29.04–45.9653.86–70.77
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction325526851safe257–392460–593717–985safer239–410442–610682–1020
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction56.4174.76safe52.38–60.4470.43–79.08safer51.09–61.7369.12–80.39
Fouls
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9411.1727.11safe13.10–18.788.22–14.1121.33–32.89safer12.35–19.547.47–14.8619.82–34.40
Offsides
62%
16%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.041.834.86safe1.88–4.200.73–2.922.61–7.12safer1.58–4.500.45–3.212.02–7.71
Yellow cards
55%
19%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.381.613.99safe1.33–3.430.48–2.741.81–6.17safer1.07–3.700.19–3.031.26–6.73
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
67%
14%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction3.682.145.81safe2.24–5.110.58–3.692.82–8.81safer1.85–5.500.16–4.122.01–9.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 2.01 1.15–2.86 0.93–3.09 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 17% 21% 62% |
| Shots on target | 3.18 1.32–5.05 0.83–5.54 | 5.34 3.60–7.08 3.13–7.55 | 8.52 4.92–12.13 3.96–13.08 | 18% 71% |
| Total shots | 9.97 6.05–13.90 4.96–14.99 | 15.45 11.88–19.01 10.92–19.97 | 25.42 17.93–32.91 15.88–34.96 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 6.28 3.34–9.22 2.51–10.05 | 10.03 7.35–12.71 6.61–13.45 | 16.31 10.69–21.93 9.12–23.50 | 14% 79% |
| Blocked shots | 2.39 0.51–4.27 0.00–4.81 | 4.62 2.97–6.28 2.48–6.77 | 7.01 3.48–10.55 2.44–11.58 | 15% 74% |
| Corners | 3.66 1.45–5.87 0.87–6.45 | 5.68 3.68–7.68 3.14–8.21 | 9.34 5.12–13.55 4.02–14.66 | 20% 69% |
| Possession % | 37.50 30.71–44.29 29.04–45.96 | 62.31 55.53–69.10 53.86–70.77 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 325 257–392 239–410 | 526 460–593 442–610 | 851 717–985 682–1020 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 56.41 52.38–60.44 51.09–61.73 | 74.76 70.43–79.08 69.12–80.39 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 15.94 13.10–18.78 12.35–19.54 | 11.17 8.22–14.11 7.47–14.86 | 27.11 21.33–32.89 19.82–34.40 | 79% 15% |
| Offsides | 3.04 1.88–4.20 1.58–4.50 | 1.83 0.73–2.92 0.45–3.21 | 4.86 2.61–7.12 2.02–7.71 | 62% 16% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 2.38 1.33–3.43 1.07–3.70 | 1.61 0.48–2.74 0.19–3.03 | 3.99 1.81–6.17 1.26–6.73 | 55% 19% 26% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.68 2.24–5.11 1.85–5.50 | 2.14 0.58–3.69 0.16–4.12 | 5.81 2.82–8.81 2.01–9.62 | 67% 14% 19% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+