Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
19%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.130.822.95safe1.16–3.100.00–1.681.13–4.77safer0.91–3.350.00–1.910.65–5.25
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.492.999.48safe4.62–8.351.25–4.735.87–13.08safer4.13–8.840.78–5.204.92–14.04
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.018.8926.90safe14.09–21.945.32–12.4519.41–34.39safer13.00–23.034.36–13.4117.36–36.44
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.185.6316.81safe8.24–14.122.95–8.3211.19–22.44safer7.41–14.952.22–9.059.62–24.00
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction4.571.586.15safe2.69–6.460.00–3.232.62–9.69safer2.15–7.000.00–3.721.58–10.72
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.613.199.79safe4.39–8.821.19–5.195.58–14.01safer3.82–9.390.65–5.724.47–15.11
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction63.2537.05safe56.46–70.0430.27–43.84safer54.79–71.7128.60–45.51
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction558319877safe490–625252–385743–1010safer472–643235–403707–1046
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction74.9563.57safe70.92–78.9859.24–67.89safer69.63–80.2757.94–69.20
Fouls
16%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8415.4426.27safe8.00–13.6712.49–18.3820.49–32.05safer7.24–14.4311.74–19.1318.99–33.56
Offsides
21%
16%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.913.155.05safe0.75–3.072.05–4.242.80–7.31safer0.44–3.371.76–4.532.21–7.90
Yellow cards
19%
17%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.684.10safe0.38–2.471.55–3.801.92–6.28safer0.11–2.741.26–4.101.36–6.84
Red cards
80%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.150.23safe0.00–0.240.00–0.340.00–0.58safer0.00–0.390.00–0.470.00–0.86
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction1.924.236.15safe0.49–3.362.67–5.793.16–9.14safer0.10–3.752.25–6.212.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.13 1.16–3.10 0.91–3.35 | 0.82 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 2.95 1.13–4.77 0.65–5.25 | 67% 19% 13% |
| Shots on target | 6.49 4.62–8.35 4.13–8.84 | 2.99 1.25–4.73 0.78–5.20 | 9.48 5.87–13.08 4.92–14.04 | 84% |
| Total shots | 18.01 14.09–21.94 13.00–23.03 | 8.89 5.32–12.45 4.36–13.41 | 26.90 19.41–34.39 17.36–36.44 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 11.18 8.24–14.12 7.41–14.95 | 5.63 2.95–8.32 2.22–9.05 | 16.81 11.19–22.44 9.62–24.00 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.57 2.69–6.46 2.15–7.00 | 1.58 0.00–3.23 0.00–3.72 | 6.15 2.62–9.69 1.58–10.72 | 85% |
| Corners | 6.61 4.39–8.82 3.82–9.39 | 3.19 1.19–5.19 0.65–5.72 | 9.79 5.58–14.01 4.47–15.11 | 83% |
| Possession % | 63.25 56.46–70.04 54.79–71.71 | 37.05 30.27–43.84 28.60–45.51 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 558 490–625 472–643 | 319 252–385 235–403 | 877 743–1010 707–1046 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.95 70.92–78.98 69.63–80.27 | 63.57 59.24–67.89 57.94–69.20 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 10.84 8.00–13.67 7.24–14.43 | 15.44 12.49–18.38 11.74–19.13 | 26.27 20.49–32.05 18.99–33.56 | 16% 79% |
| Offsides | 1.91 0.75–3.07 0.44–3.37 | 3.15 2.05–4.24 1.76–4.53 | 5.05 2.80–7.31 2.21–7.90 | 21% 16% 63% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.38–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 2.68 1.55–3.80 1.26–4.10 | 4.10 1.92–6.28 1.36–6.84 | 19% 17% 64% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% 13% |
| GK saves | 1.92 0.49–3.36 0.10–3.75 | 4.23 2.67–5.79 2.25–6.21 | 6.15 3.16–9.14 2.35–9.96 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.