Predicted match statistics
Goals
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.240.622.87safe1.28–3.210.00–1.481.05–4.69safer1.02–3.460.00–1.710.57–5.17
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.502.769.26safe4.64–8.371.02–4.505.66–12.87safer4.15–8.860.55–4.974.70–13.82
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction17.818.1425.95safe13.88–21.734.58–11.7018.46–33.43safer12.79–22.823.62–12.6616.41–35.49
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction11.554.7316.29safe8.61–14.502.05–7.4110.66–21.91safer7.78–15.331.31–8.159.10–23.48
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction4.892.056.94safe3.01–6.770.39–3.703.40–10.47safer2.46–7.320.00–4.192.37–11.51
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.533.2410.76safe5.31–9.741.24–5.246.55–14.98safer4.74–10.310.70–5.775.44–16.08
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction68.7531.52safe61.96–75.5424.73–38.30safer60.29–77.2123.06–39.97
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction601266868safe534–669200–333734–1001safer516–687182–350698–1037
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction79.7964.01safe75.76–83.8259.69–68.34safer74.47–85.1158.38–69.65
Fouls
84%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4117.2028.61safe8.57–14.2514.26–20.1522.83–34.39safer7.81–15.0013.51–20.9021.32–35.90
Offsides
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.663.09safe0.27–2.590.57–2.760.84–5.34safer0.00–2.890.28–3.040.25–5.93
Yellow cards
17%
15%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction1.563.064.62safe0.51–2.611.93–4.192.44–6.80safer0.25–2.881.64–4.481.89–7.36
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.140.22safe0.00–0.230.00–0.330.00–0.56safer0.00–0.380.00–0.460.00–0.85
GK saves
17%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.083.895.97safe0.65–3.522.33–5.452.98–8.97safer0.26–3.911.91–5.872.17–9.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.24 1.28–3.21 1.02–3.46 | 0.62 0.00–1.48 0.00–1.71 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 74% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.50 4.64–8.37 4.15–8.86 | 2.76 1.02–4.50 0.55–4.97 | 9.26 5.66–12.87 4.70–13.82 | 86% |
| Total shots | 17.81 13.88–21.73 12.79–22.82 | 8.14 4.58–11.70 3.62–12.66 | 25.95 18.46–33.43 16.41–35.49 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 11.55 8.61–14.50 7.78–15.33 | 4.73 2.05–7.41 1.31–8.15 | 16.29 10.66–21.91 9.10–23.48 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 4.89 3.01–6.77 2.46–7.32 | 2.05 0.39–3.70 0.00–4.19 | 6.94 3.40–10.47 2.37–11.51 | 82% |
| Corners | 7.53 5.31–9.74 4.74–10.31 | 3.24 1.24–5.24 0.70–5.77 | 10.76 6.55–14.98 5.44–16.08 | 88% |
| Possession % | 68.75 61.96–75.54 60.29–77.21 | 31.52 24.73–38.30 23.06–39.97 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 601 534–669 516–687 | 266 200–333 182–350 | 868 734–1001 698–1037 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.79 75.76–83.82 74.47–85.11 | 64.01 59.69–68.34 58.38–69.65 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 11.41 8.57–14.25 7.81–15.00 | 17.20 14.26–20.15 13.51–20.90 | 28.61 22.83–34.39 21.32–35.90 | 84% |
| Offsides | 1.43 0.27–2.59 0.00–2.89 | 1.66 0.57–2.76 0.28–3.04 | 3.09 0.84–5.34 0.25–5.93 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.25–2.88 | 3.06 1.93–4.19 1.64–4.48 | 4.62 2.44–6.80 1.89–7.36 | 17% 15% 68% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.08 0.65–3.52 0.26–3.91 | 3.89 2.33–5.45 1.91–5.87 | 5.97 2.98–8.97 2.17–9.78 | 17% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.