Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
20%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction0.862.032.89safe0.00–1.821.18–2.891.07–4.71safer0.00–2.080.95–3.120.59–5.19
Shots on target
20%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.235.138.36safe1.37–5.103.39–6.874.76–11.97safer0.88–5.592.92–7.343.80–12.92
Total shots
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4713.0023.47safe6.54–14.399.44–16.5615.98–30.95safer5.45–15.498.48–17.5213.93–33.00
Shots in box
16%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction6.089.4415.52safe3.13–9.026.76–12.139.90–21.14safer2.30–9.856.03–12.868.33–22.71
Blocked shots
19%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.484.266.74safe0.60–4.372.60–5.913.21–10.28safer0.06–4.912.11–6.402.17–11.31
Corners
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.685.359.04safe1.47–5.903.35–7.354.82–13.25safer0.90–6.472.82–7.893.72–14.36
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction35.3165.09safe28.52–42.1058.30–71.87safer26.85–43.7756.63–73.55
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction289540829safe222–357473–606696–963safer204–375456–624660–999
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction59.5877.94safe55.55–63.6173.62–82.27safer54.26–64.9072.31–83.58
Fouls
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction17.5712.0429.61safe14.73–20.419.09–14.9823.83–35.39safer13.98–21.168.34–15.7322.32–36.89
Offsides
48%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.293.01safe0.56–2.880.20–2.380.76–5.26safer0.26–3.180.00–2.670.17–5.85
Yellow cards
49%
19%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.401.964.36safe1.35–3.450.83–3.092.19–6.54safer1.09–3.720.54–3.381.63–7.10
Red cards
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction0.210.120.33safe0.04–0.370.00–0.310.00–0.67safer0.00–0.520.00–0.440.00–0.96
GK saves
56%
16%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.302.445.74safe1.87–4.740.88–3.992.75–8.73safer1.48–5.130.46–4.421.94–9.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.86 0.00–1.82 0.00–2.08 | 2.03 1.18–2.89 0.95–3.12 | 2.89 1.07–4.71 0.59–5.19 | 15% 20% 65% |
| Shots on target | 3.23 1.37–5.10 0.88–5.59 | 5.13 3.39–6.87 2.92–7.34 | 8.36 4.76–11.97 3.80–12.92 | 20% 68% |
| Total shots | 10.47 6.54–14.39 5.45–15.49 | 13.00 9.44–16.56 8.48–17.52 | 23.47 15.98–30.95 13.93–33.00 | 27% 66% |
| Shots in box | 6.08 3.13–9.02 2.30–9.85 | 9.44 6.76–12.13 6.03–12.86 | 15.52 9.90–21.14 8.33–22.71 | 16% 77% |
| Blocked shots | 2.48 0.60–4.37 0.06–4.91 | 4.26 2.60–5.91 2.11–6.40 | 6.74 3.21–10.28 2.17–11.31 | 19% 69% |
| Corners | 3.68 1.47–5.90 0.90–6.47 | 5.35 3.35–7.35 2.82–7.89 | 9.04 4.82–13.25 3.72–14.36 | 23% 65% |
| Possession % | 35.31 28.52–42.10 26.85–43.77 | 65.09 58.30–71.87 56.63–73.55 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 289 222–357 204–375 | 540 473–606 456–624 | 829 696–963 660–999 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.58 55.55–63.61 54.26–64.90 | 77.94 73.62–82.27 72.31–83.58 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 17.57 14.73–20.41 13.98–21.16 | 12.04 9.09–14.98 8.34–15.73 | 29.61 23.83–35.39 22.32–36.89 | 82% 13% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 1.29 0.20–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 3.01 0.76–5.26 0.17–5.85 | 48% 24% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 2.40 1.35–3.45 1.09–3.72 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 4.36 2.19–6.54 1.63–7.10 | 49% 19% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.21 0.04–0.37 0.00–0.52 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.33 0.00–0.67 0.00–0.96 | 17% 74% |
| GK saves | 3.30 1.87–4.74 1.48–5.13 | 2.44 0.88–3.99 0.46–4.42 | 5.74 2.75–8.73 1.94–9.55 | 56% 16% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.