Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.200.782.98safe1.23–3.170.00–1.631.15–4.80safer0.98–3.420.00–1.860.67–5.28
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.642.728.36safe3.78–7.500.97–4.464.75–11.96safer3.29–7.990.51–4.933.79–12.92
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction15.598.0823.67safe11.67–19.524.52–11.6416.18–31.16safer10.58–20.613.56–12.6014.13–33.21
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction10.725.2515.97safe7.78–13.662.57–7.9410.35–21.60safer6.95–14.491.84–8.678.78–23.16
Blocked shots
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.282.476.76safe2.40–6.160.82–4.133.22–10.29safer1.86–6.710.33–4.622.19–11.33
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.683.3410.03safe4.47–8.901.34–5.355.82–14.24safer3.90–9.470.81–5.884.71–15.35
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction67.1834.21safe60.39–73.9727.42–40.99safer58.72–75.6425.75–42.66
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction579270849safe512–646204–337715–983safer494–664186–354680–1018
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction78.6364.15safe74.60–82.6659.83–68.48safer73.31–83.9558.52–69.79
Fouls
85%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9216.8627.78safe8.08–13.7613.92–19.8122.00–33.56safer7.33–14.5113.17–20.5520.49–35.07
Offsides
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.533.22safe0.53–2.850.44–2.630.97–5.48safer0.23–3.150.15–2.910.38–6.07
Yellow cards
18%
15%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.673.134.80safe0.63–2.722.00–4.262.63–6.98safer0.36–2.991.71–4.552.07–7.54
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.150.23safe0.00–0.240.00–0.340.00–0.58safer0.00–0.390.00–0.470.00–0.86
GK saves
24%
16%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.163.305.45safe0.72–3.591.74–4.852.46–8.45safer0.33–3.981.32–5.281.65–9.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.20 1.23–3.17 0.98–3.42 | 0.78 0.00–1.63 0.00–1.86 | 2.98 1.15–4.80 0.67–5.28 | 70% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.64 3.78–7.50 3.29–7.99 | 2.72 0.97–4.46 0.51–4.93 | 8.36 4.75–11.96 3.79–12.92 | 80% |
| Total shots | 15.59 11.67–19.52 10.58–20.61 | 8.08 4.52–11.64 3.56–12.60 | 23.67 16.18–31.16 14.13–33.21 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 10.72 7.78–13.66 6.95–14.49 | 5.25 2.57–7.94 1.84–8.67 | 15.97 10.35–21.60 8.78–23.16 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.28 2.40–6.16 1.86–6.71 | 2.47 0.82–4.13 0.33–4.62 | 6.76 3.22–10.29 2.19–11.33 | 69% 18% |
| Corners | 6.68 4.47–8.90 3.90–9.47 | 3.34 1.34–5.35 0.81–5.88 | 10.03 5.82–14.24 4.71–15.35 | 82% |
| Possession % | 67.18 60.39–73.97 58.72–75.64 | 34.21 27.42–40.99 25.75–42.66 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 579 512–646 494–664 | 270 204–337 186–354 | 849 715–983 680–1018 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.63 74.60–82.66 73.31–83.95 | 64.15 59.83–68.48 58.52–69.79 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 10.92 8.08–13.76 7.33–14.51 | 16.86 13.92–19.81 13.17–20.55 | 27.78 22.00–33.56 20.49–35.07 | 85% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.53 0.44–2.63 0.15–2.91 | 3.22 0.97–5.48 0.38–6.07 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.63–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 3.13 2.00–4.26 1.71–4.55 | 4.80 2.63–6.98 2.07–7.54 | 18% 15% 67% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.16 0.72–3.59 0.33–3.98 | 3.30 1.74–4.85 1.32–5.28 | 5.45 2.46–8.45 1.65–9.26 | 24% 16% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.