Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
23%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.042.83safe0.83–2.760.18–1.891.01–4.65safer0.57–3.010.00–2.120.53–5.13
Shots on target
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.373.628.99safe3.51–7.231.88–5.375.39–12.60safer3.02–7.721.41–5.834.43–13.55
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9711.1426.10safe11.04–18.897.57–14.7018.62–33.59safer9.95–19.986.61–15.6616.57–35.64
Shots in box
75%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction9.756.4916.23safe6.80–12.693.81–9.1710.61–21.86safer5.97–13.523.07–9.919.04–23.42
Blocked shots
66%
13%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.272.676.93safe2.38–6.151.02–4.323.40–10.47safer1.84–6.690.52–4.812.36–11.51
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.514.1910.71safe4.30–8.732.19–6.196.49–14.92safer3.73–9.301.66–6.735.39–16.03
Possession %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction53.0346.63safe46.24–59.8239.84–53.41safer44.57–61.4938.17–55.08
Passes
67%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction430376806safe363–497310–443673–940safer345–515292–460637–976
Pass accuracy %
45%
49%
homeawayprediction67.7768.16safe63.74–71.8063.83–72.48safer62.45–73.1062.52–73.79
Fouls
19%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9217.2330.15safe10.08–15.7614.29–20.1824.37–35.94safer9.33–16.5113.54–20.9322.87–37.44
Offsides
48%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.453.35safe0.75–3.070.35–2.541.10–5.61safer0.45–3.370.07–2.830.51–6.20
Yellow cards
26%
17%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.062.995.05safe1.01–3.111.86–4.112.87–7.23safer0.75–3.381.57–4.412.31–7.78
Red cards
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.180.28safe0.00–0.270.00–0.360.00–0.63safer0.00–0.420.00–0.500.00–0.92
GK saves
28%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.433.275.71safe1.00–3.871.72–4.832.71–8.70safer0.61–4.261.29–5.261.90–9.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.79 0.83–2.76 0.57–3.01 | 1.04 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 55% 23% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.37 3.51–7.23 3.02–7.72 | 3.62 1.88–5.37 1.41–5.83 | 8.99 5.39–12.60 4.43–13.55 | 66% 22% |
| Total shots | 14.97 11.04–18.89 9.95–19.98 | 11.14 7.57–14.70 6.61–15.66 | 26.10 18.62–33.59 16.57–35.64 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 9.75 6.80–12.69 5.97–13.52 | 6.49 3.81–9.17 3.07–9.91 | 16.23 10.61–21.86 9.04–23.42 | 75% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.27 2.38–6.15 1.84–6.69 | 2.67 1.02–4.32 0.52–4.81 | 6.93 3.40–10.47 2.36–11.51 | 66% 13% 21% |
| Corners | 6.51 4.30–8.73 3.73–9.30 | 4.19 2.19–6.19 1.66–6.73 | 10.71 6.49–14.92 5.39–16.03 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 53.03 46.24–59.82 44.57–61.49 | 46.63 39.84–53.41 38.17–55.08 | — | 63% 33% |
| Passes | 430 363–497 345–515 | 376 310–443 292–460 | 806 673–940 637–976 | 67% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.77 63.74–71.80 62.45–73.10 | 68.16 63.83–72.48 62.52–73.79 | — | 45% 49% |
| Fouls | 12.92 10.08–15.76 9.33–16.51 | 17.23 14.29–20.18 13.54–20.93 | 30.15 24.37–35.94 22.87–37.44 | 19% 76% |
| Offsides | 1.91 0.75–3.07 0.45–3.37 | 1.45 0.35–2.54 0.07–2.83 | 3.35 1.10–5.61 0.51–6.20 | 48% 22% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 2.06 1.01–3.11 0.75–3.38 | 2.99 1.86–4.11 1.57–4.41 | 5.05 2.87–7.23 2.31–7.78 | 26% 17% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.36 0.00–0.50 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.92 | 77% 15% |
| GK saves | 2.43 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 3.27 1.72–4.83 1.29–5.26 | 5.71 2.71–8.70 1.90–9.51 | 28% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.