Premier League·Regular Season - 21·
Premier League·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
19%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction0.862.132.99safe0.00–1.831.27–2.981.16–4.81safer0.00–2.081.04–3.210.68–5.29
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.825.938.75safe0.95–4.684.19–7.675.14–12.35safer0.46–5.173.72–8.144.19–13.31
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction9.1415.6024.74safe5.22–13.0712.03–19.1617.25–32.22safer4.12–14.1611.08–20.1215.20–34.28
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5.3410.2715.61safe2.40–8.287.59–12.959.99–21.23safer1.57–9.116.85–13.698.42–22.80
Blocked shots
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.534.466.99safe0.65–4.422.80–6.113.46–10.53safer0.11–4.962.31–6.602.42–11.56
Corners
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.676.169.83safe1.45–5.884.16–8.165.61–14.04safer0.88–6.453.63–8.694.51–15.15
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.6962.17safe31.90–45.4855.38–68.95safer30.23–47.1553.71–70.62
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction324521845safe257–391454–587711–979safer239–409437–605676–1014
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction59.9077.56safe55.87–63.9373.24–81.88safer54.58–65.2371.93–83.19
Fouls
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5212.6628.18safe12.69–18.369.71–15.6022.40–33.96safer11.93–19.128.97–16.3520.89–35.47
Offsides
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.613.27safe0.49–2.810.52–2.701.01–5.52safer0.19–3.120.23–2.990.42–6.11
Yellow cards
51%
19%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.411.824.23safe1.36–3.460.69–2.952.05–6.41safer1.09–3.720.40–3.241.49–6.96
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.110.25safe0.00–0.300.00–0.300.00–0.60safer0.00–0.450.00–0.430.00–0.88
GK saves
64%
14%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.622.215.84safe2.19–5.060.66–3.772.84–8.83safer1.80–5.450.23–4.192.03–9.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.86 0.00–1.83 0.00–2.08 | 2.13 1.27–2.98 1.04–3.21 | 2.99 1.16–4.81 0.68–5.29 | 14% 19% 67% |
| Shots on target | 2.82 0.95–4.68 0.46–5.17 | 5.93 4.19–7.67 3.72–8.14 | 8.75 5.14–12.35 4.19–13.31 | 81% |
| Total shots | 9.14 5.22–13.07 4.12–14.16 | 15.60 12.03–19.16 11.08–20.12 | 24.74 17.25–32.22 15.20–34.28 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 5.34 2.40–8.28 1.57–9.11 | 10.27 7.59–12.95 6.85–13.69 | 15.61 9.99–21.23 8.42–22.80 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 2.53 0.65–4.42 0.11–4.96 | 4.46 2.80–6.11 2.31–6.60 | 6.99 3.46–10.53 2.42–11.56 | 18% 70% |
| Corners | 3.67 1.45–5.88 0.88–6.45 | 6.16 4.16–8.16 3.63–8.69 | 9.83 5.61–14.04 4.51–15.15 | 17% 74% |
| Possession % | 38.69 31.90–45.48 30.23–47.15 | 62.17 55.38–68.95 53.71–70.62 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 324 257–391 239–409 | 521 454–587 437–605 | 845 711–979 676–1014 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.90 55.87–63.93 54.58–65.23 | 77.56 73.24–81.88 71.93–83.19 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 15.52 12.69–18.36 11.93–19.12 | 12.66 9.71–15.60 8.97–16.35 | 28.18 22.40–33.96 20.89–35.47 | 67% 26% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.12 | 1.61 0.52–2.70 0.23–2.99 | 3.27 1.01–5.52 0.42–6.11 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 2.41 1.36–3.46 1.09–3.72 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 4.23 2.05–6.41 1.49–6.96 | 51% 19% 29% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.62 2.19–5.06 1.80–5.45 | 2.21 0.66–3.77 0.23–4.19 | 5.84 2.84–8.83 2.03–9.64 | 64% 14% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+