Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
20%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction0.862.112.97safe0.00–1.831.26–2.971.15–4.79safer0.00–2.081.03–3.190.67–5.27
Shots on target
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.425.789.19safe1.56–5.284.03–7.525.59–12.80safer1.07–5.773.57–7.984.63–13.76
Total shots
17%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4415.8227.25safe7.51–15.3612.25–19.3819.77–34.74safer6.42–16.4511.29–20.3417.72–36.79
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.3410.5516.89safe3.40–9.287.87–13.2311.26–22.51safer2.57–10.117.13–13.979.70–24.08
Blocked shots
19%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.664.457.11safe0.78–4.542.80–6.113.58–10.65safer0.24–5.092.31–6.602.54–11.68
Corners
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.835.829.65safe1.62–6.053.82–7.825.44–13.86safer1.05–6.623.28–8.354.33–14.97
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction40.8559.77safe34.06–47.6452.99–66.56safer32.39–49.3151.31–68.23
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction358512870safe291–425445–578736–1004safer273–444428–596700–1039
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction65.4879.19safe61.45–69.5174.86–83.51safer60.15–70.8073.55–84.82
Fouls
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction17.0012.1829.18safe14.16–19.849.24–15.1223.40–34.96safer13.40–20.598.49–15.8721.89–36.46
Offsides
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.843.62safe0.62–2.940.75–2.941.37–5.87safer0.31–3.240.46–3.220.78–6.46
Yellow cards
58%
17%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.871.894.76safe1.82–3.920.76–3.022.58–6.94safer1.55–4.190.47–3.312.02–7.49
Red cards
18%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction0.220.100.32safe0.06–0.380.00–0.290.00–0.67safer0.00–0.530.00–0.420.00–0.95
GK saves
62%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.832.546.36safe2.39–5.260.98–4.093.37–9.36safer2.00–5.650.56–4.522.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.86 0.00–1.83 0.00–2.08 | 2.11 1.26–2.97 1.03–3.19 | 2.97 1.15–4.79 0.67–5.27 | 14% 20% 66% |
| Shots on target | 3.42 1.56–5.28 1.07–5.77 | 5.78 4.03–7.52 3.57–7.98 | 9.19 5.59–12.80 4.63–13.76 | 17% 73% |
| Total shots | 11.44 7.51–15.36 6.42–16.45 | 15.82 12.25–19.38 11.29–20.34 | 27.25 19.77–34.74 17.72–36.79 | 17% 77% |
| Shots in box | 6.34 3.40–9.28 2.57–10.11 | 10.55 7.87–13.23 7.13–13.97 | 16.89 11.26–22.51 9.70–24.08 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 2.66 0.78–4.54 0.24–5.09 | 4.45 2.80–6.11 2.31–6.60 | 7.11 3.58–10.65 2.54–11.68 | 19% 69% |
| Corners | 3.83 1.62–6.05 1.05–6.62 | 5.82 3.82–7.82 3.28–8.35 | 9.65 5.44–13.86 4.33–14.97 | 21% 68% |
| Possession % | 40.85 34.06–47.64 32.39–49.31 | 59.77 52.99–66.56 51.31–68.23 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 358 291–425 273–444 | 512 445–578 428–596 | 870 736–1004 700–1039 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.48 61.45–69.51 60.15–70.80 | 79.19 74.86–83.51 73.55–84.82 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 17.00 14.16–19.84 13.40–20.59 | 12.18 9.24–15.12 8.49–15.87 | 29.18 23.40–34.96 21.89–36.46 | 79% 16% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.31–3.24 | 1.84 0.75–2.94 0.46–3.22 | 3.62 1.37–5.87 0.78–6.46 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 2.87 1.82–3.92 1.55–4.19 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 4.76 2.58–6.94 2.02–7.49 | 58% 17% 24% |
| Red cards | 0.22 0.06–0.38 0.00–0.53 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.32 0.00–0.67 0.00–0.95 | 18% 74% |
| GK saves | 3.83 2.39–5.26 2.00–5.65 | 2.54 0.98–4.09 0.56–4.52 | 6.36 3.37–9.36 2.56–10.17 | 62% 14% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.