Premier League·Regular Season - 24·
Premier League·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
22%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction0.941.942.88safe0.00–1.911.09–2.801.06–4.71safer0.00–2.160.86–3.020.58–5.19
Shots on target
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.475.168.63safe1.61–5.333.42–6.905.02–12.23safer1.12–5.822.95–7.374.07–13.19
Total shots
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3814.4625.84safe7.45–15.3010.90–18.0218.35–33.32safer6.36–16.399.94–18.9816.30–35.37
Shots in box
19%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction6.689.6416.32safe3.74–9.626.96–12.3210.69–21.94safer2.91–10.456.22–13.069.13–23.51
Blocked shots
25%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.864.147.01safe0.98–4.752.49–5.803.47–10.54safer0.44–5.292.00–6.292.44–11.58
Corners
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.255.209.45safe2.04–6.463.20–7.205.24–13.66safer1.46–7.042.67–7.734.13–14.77
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction40.6260.08safe33.83–47.4153.29–66.86safer32.16–49.0851.62–68.53
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction339496835safe271–406430–563701–968safer253–424412–580665–1004
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction63.8077.76safe59.77–67.8373.44–82.09safer58.47–69.1272.13–83.39
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2113.4529.66safe13.37–19.0510.50–16.3923.88–35.44safer12.62–19.819.76–17.1422.37–36.95
Offsides
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.032.194.21safe0.87–3.191.09–3.281.96–6.47safer0.56–3.490.81–3.571.37–7.06
Yellow cards
47%
18%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.762.435.20safe1.71–3.811.30–3.563.02–7.37safer1.45–4.081.01–3.852.46–7.93
Red cards
21%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction0.270.140.41safe0.11–0.430.00–0.330.06–0.75safer0.00–0.580.00–0.460.00–1.04
GK saves
57%
16%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.372.445.81safe1.94–4.810.88–4.002.82–8.80safer1.55–5.200.46–4.422.01–9.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.94 0.00–1.91 0.00–2.16 | 1.94 1.09–2.80 0.86–3.02 | 2.88 1.06–4.71 0.58–5.19 | 18% 22% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.47 1.61–5.33 1.12–5.82 | 5.16 3.42–6.90 2.95–7.37 | 8.63 5.02–12.23 4.07–13.19 | 23% 66% |
| Total shots | 11.38 7.45–15.30 6.36–16.39 | 14.46 10.90–18.02 9.94–18.98 | 25.84 18.35–33.32 16.30–35.37 | 24% 69% |
| Shots in box | 6.68 3.74–9.62 2.91–10.45 | 9.64 6.96–12.32 6.22–13.06 | 16.32 10.69–21.94 9.13–23.51 | 19% 73% |
| Blocked shots | 2.86 0.98–4.75 0.44–5.29 | 4.14 2.49–5.80 2.00–6.29 | 7.01 3.47–10.54 2.44–11.58 | 25% 14% 61% |
| Corners | 4.25 2.04–6.46 1.46–7.04 | 5.20 3.20–7.20 2.67–7.73 | 9.45 5.24–13.66 4.13–14.77 | 32% 56% |
| Possession % | 40.62 33.83–47.41 32.16–49.08 | 60.08 53.29–66.86 51.62–68.53 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 339 271–406 253–424 | 496 430–563 412–580 | 835 701–968 665–1004 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.80 59.77–67.83 58.47–69.12 | 77.76 73.44–82.09 72.13–83.39 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 16.21 13.37–19.05 12.62–19.81 | 13.45 10.50–16.39 9.76–17.14 | 29.66 23.88–35.44 22.37–36.95 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 2.03 0.87–3.19 0.56–3.49 | 2.19 1.09–3.28 0.81–3.57 | 4.21 1.96–6.47 1.37–7.06 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 2.76 1.71–3.81 1.45–4.08 | 2.43 1.30–3.56 1.01–3.85 | 5.20 3.02–7.37 2.46–7.93 | 47% 18% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.27 0.11–0.43 0.00–0.58 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.41 0.06–0.75 0.00–1.04 | 21% 69% |
| GK saves | 3.37 1.94–4.81 1.55–5.20 | 2.44 0.88–4.00 0.46–4.42 | 5.81 2.82–8.80 2.01–9.62 | 57% 16% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+