Premier League·Regular Season - 24·
Premier League·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.350.793.14safe1.39–3.320.00–1.651.32–4.97safer1.13–3.570.00–1.870.84–5.45
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.722.999.71safe4.85–8.581.25–4.736.10–13.31safer4.36–9.070.78–5.205.15–14.27
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.038.5826.61safe14.11–21.965.02–12.1419.12–34.10safer13.02–23.054.06–13.1017.07–36.15
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.445.3417.78safe9.50–15.382.66–8.0212.15–23.40safer8.67–16.211.92–8.7610.59–24.97
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.222.447.66safe3.34–7.100.79–4.094.13–11.20safer2.80–7.650.29–4.583.09–12.23
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.193.3810.57safe4.98–9.401.38–5.386.35–14.78safer4.40–9.980.84–5.915.25–15.89
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction63.6237.57safe56.83–70.4130.78–44.35safer55.16–72.0829.11–46.02
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction564333897safe497–631267–400763–1031safer478–649249–417728–1067
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction80.2269.82safe76.19–84.2565.50–74.15safer74.90–85.5464.19–75.46
Fouls
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6416.5029.14safe9.80–15.4813.55–19.4423.36–34.92safer9.05–16.2312.80–20.1921.85–36.43
Offsides
49%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.353.20safe0.69–3.010.26–2.450.95–5.46safer0.39–3.310.00–2.730.36–6.05
Yellow cards
21%
16%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.833.044.86safe0.78–2.871.91–4.172.69–7.04safer0.51–3.141.62–4.462.13–7.60
Red cards
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.170.24safe0.00–0.230.00–0.350.00–0.59safer0.00–0.380.00–0.490.00–0.87
GK saves
18%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.354.116.46safe0.91–3.792.56–5.673.47–9.45safer0.53–4.172.13–6.092.66–10.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.35 1.39–3.32 1.13–3.57 | 0.79 0.00–1.65 0.00–1.87 | 3.14 1.32–4.97 0.84–5.45 | 72% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.72 4.85–8.58 4.36–9.07 | 2.99 1.25–4.73 0.78–5.20 | 9.71 6.10–13.31 5.15–14.27 | 85% |
| Total shots | 18.03 14.11–21.96 13.02–23.05 | 8.58 5.02–12.14 4.06–13.10 | 26.61 19.12–34.10 17.07–36.15 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.44 9.50–15.38 8.67–16.21 | 5.34 2.66–8.02 1.92–8.76 | 17.78 12.15–23.40 10.59–24.97 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 5.22 3.34–7.10 2.80–7.65 | 2.44 0.79–4.09 0.29–4.58 | 7.66 4.13–11.20 3.09–12.23 | 80% |
| Corners | 7.19 4.98–9.40 4.40–9.98 | 3.38 1.38–5.38 0.84–5.91 | 10.57 6.35–14.78 5.25–15.89 | 85% |
| Possession % | 63.62 56.83–70.41 55.16–72.08 | 37.57 30.78–44.35 29.11–46.02 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 564 497–631 478–649 | 333 267–400 249–417 | 897 763–1031 728–1067 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.22 76.19–84.25 74.90–85.54 | 69.82 65.50–74.15 64.19–75.46 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 12.64 9.80–15.48 9.05–16.23 | 16.50 13.55–19.44 12.80–20.19 | 29.14 23.36–34.92 21.85–36.43 | 21% 73% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 1.35 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.73 | 3.20 0.95–5.46 0.36–6.05 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.87 0.51–3.14 | 3.04 1.91–4.17 1.62–4.46 | 4.86 2.69–7.04 2.13–7.60 | 21% 16% 62% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.17 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.49 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.35 0.91–3.79 0.53–4.17 | 4.11 2.56–5.67 2.13–6.09 | 6.46 3.47–9.45 2.66–10.27 | 18% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+