Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
27%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.252.47safe0.24–2.180.40–2.110.64–4.29safer0.00–2.430.17–2.340.16–4.77
Shots on target
41%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.224.398.61safe2.35–6.082.65–6.145.00–12.21safer1.86–6.572.19–6.604.05–13.17
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9312.2925.22safe9.01–16.868.73–15.8517.73–32.71safer7.92–17.957.77–16.8115.68–34.76
Shots in box
46%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction8.097.9616.05safe5.15–11.035.28–10.6410.43–21.67safer4.32–11.864.54–11.388.86–23.24
Blocked shots
43%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.373.336.70safe1.48–5.251.68–4.983.16–10.23safer0.94–5.791.19–5.482.13–11.27
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.184.739.91safe2.97–7.402.73–6.735.70–14.12safer2.39–7.972.19–7.264.59–15.23
Possession %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction48.9952.68safe42.20–55.7845.89–59.46safer40.53–57.4544.22–61.13
Passes
40%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction418447864safe350–485380–513730–998safer332–503363–531695–1033
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction64.7071.16safe60.67–68.7366.84–75.48safer59.37–70.0265.53–76.79
Fouls
41%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7514.5228.26safe10.91–16.5811.57–17.4622.48–34.04safer10.15–17.3410.82–18.2120.98–35.55
Offsides
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.643.34safe0.54–2.860.55–2.741.09–5.60safer0.24–3.160.26–3.030.50–6.19
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.962.344.31safe0.91–3.011.22–3.472.13–6.48safer0.64–3.280.92–3.771.57–7.04
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.140.24safe0.00–0.260.00–0.320.00–0.58safer0.00–0.410.00–0.460.00–0.87
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.952.845.79safe1.52–4.391.28–4.392.79–8.78safer1.13–4.780.85–4.821.98–9.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.24–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 1.25 0.40–2.11 0.17–2.34 | 2.47 0.64–4.29 0.16–4.77 | 35% 27% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.22 2.35–6.08 1.86–6.57 | 4.39 2.65–6.14 2.19–6.60 | 8.61 5.00–12.21 4.05–13.17 | 41% 14% 45% |
| Total shots | 12.93 9.01–16.86 7.92–17.95 | 12.29 8.73–15.85 7.77–16.81 | 25.22 17.73–32.71 15.68–34.76 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 8.09 5.15–11.03 4.32–11.86 | 7.96 5.28–10.64 4.54–11.38 | 16.05 10.43–21.67 8.86–23.24 | 46% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 3.37 1.48–5.25 0.94–5.79 | 3.33 1.68–4.98 1.19–5.48 | 6.70 3.16–10.23 2.13–11.27 | 43% 16% 42% |
| Corners | 5.18 2.97–7.40 2.39–7.97 | 4.73 2.73–6.73 2.19–7.26 | 9.91 5.70–14.12 4.59–15.23 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 48.99 42.20–55.78 40.53–57.45 | 52.68 45.89–59.46 44.22–61.13 | — | 39% 56% |
| Passes | 418 350–485 332–503 | 447 380–513 363–531 | 864 730–998 695–1033 | 40% 59% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.70 60.67–68.73 59.37–70.02 | 71.16 66.84–75.48 65.53–76.79 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 13.75 10.91–16.58 10.15–17.34 | 14.52 11.57–17.46 10.82–18.21 | 28.26 22.48–34.04 20.98–35.55 | 41% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.16 | 1.64 0.55–2.74 0.26–3.03 | 3.34 1.09–5.60 0.50–6.19 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.01 0.64–3.28 | 2.34 1.22–3.47 0.92–3.77 | 4.31 2.13–6.48 1.57–7.04 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.95 1.52–4.39 1.13–4.78 | 2.84 1.28–4.39 0.85–4.82 | 5.79 2.79–8.78 1.98–9.59 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.