Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
18%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.330.983.31safe1.36–3.300.13–1.841.49–5.13safer1.11–3.550.00–2.071.01–5.61
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.613.209.81safe4.75–8.481.46–4.946.21–13.42safer4.26–8.970.99–5.415.25–14.37
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction17.929.0326.95safe13.99–21.845.47–12.6019.46–34.44safer12.90–22.944.51–13.5517.41–36.49
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.225.8017.01safe8.27–14.163.12–8.4811.39–22.64safer7.44–14.992.38–9.219.82–24.20
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction4.481.896.37safe2.60–6.370.23–3.542.84–9.91safer2.06–6.910.00–4.031.80–10.94
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.433.369.79safe4.22–8.651.36–5.365.58–14.00safer3.65–9.220.83–5.894.47–15.11
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction61.1639.55safe54.37–67.9532.77–46.34safer52.70–69.6231.10–48.01
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction546339886safe479–613273–406752–1019safer461–632255–423716–1055
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction74.6866.19safe70.65–78.7161.87–70.52safer69.36–80.0060.56–71.83
Fouls
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4515.2026.66safe8.62–14.2912.26–18.1520.87–32.44safer7.86–15.0511.51–18.8919.37–33.94
Offsides
19%
15%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.873.285.15safe0.71–3.032.19–4.382.90–7.40safer0.40–3.331.90–4.672.31–7.99
Yellow cards
17%
16%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.944.40safe0.41–2.511.81–4.072.23–6.58safer0.15–2.781.52–4.361.67–7.14
Red cards
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.190.27safe0.00–0.240.01–0.380.00–0.62safer0.00–0.390.00–0.510.00–0.90
GK saves
13%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction1.974.176.14safe0.54–3.412.61–5.723.15–9.13safer0.15–3.802.19–6.152.34–9.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.33 1.36–3.30 1.11–3.55 | 0.98 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 3.31 1.49–5.13 1.01–5.61 | 67% 18% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.61 4.75–8.48 4.26–8.97 | 3.20 1.46–4.94 0.99–5.41 | 9.81 6.21–13.42 5.25–14.37 | 83% |
| Total shots | 17.92 13.99–21.84 12.90–22.94 | 9.03 5.47–12.60 4.51–13.55 | 26.95 19.46–34.44 17.41–36.49 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 11.22 8.27–14.16 7.44–14.99 | 5.80 3.12–8.48 2.38–9.21 | 17.01 11.39–22.64 9.82–24.20 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.48 2.60–6.37 2.06–6.91 | 1.89 0.23–3.54 0.00–4.03 | 6.37 2.84–9.91 1.80–10.94 | 80% |
| Corners | 6.43 4.22–8.65 3.65–9.22 | 3.36 1.36–5.36 0.83–5.89 | 9.79 5.58–14.00 4.47–15.11 | 80% |
| Possession % | 61.16 54.37–67.95 52.70–69.62 | 39.55 32.77–46.34 31.10–48.01 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 546 479–613 461–632 | 339 273–406 255–423 | 886 752–1019 716–1055 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.68 70.65–78.71 69.36–80.00 | 66.19 61.87–70.52 60.56–71.83 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.45 8.62–14.29 7.86–15.05 | 15.20 12.26–18.15 11.51–18.89 | 26.66 20.87–32.44 19.37–33.94 | 20% 74% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.40–3.33 | 3.28 2.19–4.38 1.90–4.67 | 5.15 2.90–7.40 2.31–7.99 | 19% 15% 65% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.41–2.51 0.15–2.78 | 2.94 1.81–4.07 1.52–4.36 | 4.40 2.23–6.58 1.67–7.14 | 17% 16% 68% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.19 0.01–0.38 0.00–0.51 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 77% 16% |
| GK saves | 1.97 0.54–3.41 0.15–3.80 | 4.17 2.61–5.72 2.19–6.15 | 6.14 3.15–9.13 2.34–9.95 | 13% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.