Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
23%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction1.730.812.53safe0.76–2.700.00–1.660.71–4.36safer0.51–2.950.00–1.890.23–4.84
Shots on target
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.042.917.94safe3.17–6.901.17–4.654.34–11.55safer2.68–7.390.70–5.123.38–12.50
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction15.448.3023.75safe11.52–19.374.74–11.8716.26–31.24safer10.43–20.463.78–12.8314.21–33.29
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction10.275.1215.39safe7.33–13.222.44–7.809.77–21.02safer6.50–14.051.70–8.548.20–22.58
Blocked shots
73%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction3.901.925.82safe2.02–5.790.27–3.572.29–9.36safer1.48–6.330.00–4.071.25–10.40
Corners
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.233.469.69safe4.01–8.441.46–5.465.48–13.90safer3.44–9.010.93–6.004.37–15.01
Possession %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction53.4746.78safe46.68–60.2639.99–53.56safer45.01–61.9338.32–55.23
Passes
63%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction400361762safe333–468295–428628–896safer315–486277–445593–931
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction63.0963.85safe59.06–67.1259.52–68.17safer57.77–68.4258.21–69.48
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7714.4328.20safe10.93–16.6111.49–17.3822.42–33.99safer10.18–17.3610.74–18.1320.92–35.49
Offsides
51%
21%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.473.52safe0.89–3.210.38–2.561.27–5.77safer0.59–3.510.09–2.850.68–6.36
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.972.344.31safe0.92–3.021.21–3.472.14–6.49safer0.66–3.290.92–3.761.58–7.05
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.150.25safe0.00–0.270.00–0.340.00–0.60safer0.00–0.420.00–0.470.00–0.88
GK saves
21%
15%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.003.355.34safe0.56–3.431.79–4.902.35–8.34safer0.17–3.821.37–5.331.54–9.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.73 0.76–2.70 0.51–2.95 | 0.81 0.00–1.66 0.00–1.89 | 2.53 0.71–4.36 0.23–4.84 | 59% 23% 17% |
| Shots on target | 5.04 3.17–6.90 2.68–7.39 | 2.91 1.17–4.65 0.70–5.12 | 7.94 4.34–11.55 3.38–12.50 | 72% 17% |
| Total shots | 15.44 11.52–19.37 10.43–20.46 | 8.30 4.74–11.87 3.78–12.83 | 23.75 16.26–31.24 14.21–33.29 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 10.27 7.33–13.22 6.50–14.05 | 5.12 2.44–7.80 1.70–8.54 | 15.39 9.77–21.02 8.20–22.58 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 3.90 2.02–5.79 1.48–6.33 | 1.92 0.27–3.57 0.00–4.07 | 5.82 2.29–9.36 1.25–10.40 | 73% 15% |
| Corners | 6.23 4.01–8.44 3.44–9.01 | 3.46 1.46–5.46 0.93–6.00 | 9.69 5.48–13.90 4.37–15.01 | 77% 14% |
| Possession % | 53.47 46.68–60.26 45.01–61.93 | 46.78 39.99–53.56 38.32–55.23 | — | 63% 32% |
| Passes | 400 333–468 315–486 | 361 295–428 277–445 | 762 628–896 593–931 | 63% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.09 59.06–67.12 57.77–68.42 | 63.85 59.52–68.17 58.21–69.48 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 13.77 10.93–16.61 10.18–17.36 | 14.43 11.49–17.38 10.74–18.13 | 28.20 22.42–33.99 20.92–35.49 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 2.05 0.89–3.21 0.59–3.51 | 1.47 0.38–2.56 0.09–2.85 | 3.52 1.27–5.77 0.68–6.36 | 51% 21% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.66–3.29 | 2.34 1.21–3.47 0.92–3.76 | 4.31 2.14–6.49 1.58–7.05 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.00 0.56–3.43 0.17–3.82 | 3.35 1.79–4.90 1.37–5.33 | 5.34 2.35–8.34 1.54–9.15 | 21% 15% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.