Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
21%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.030.932.96safe1.06–3.000.08–1.791.14–4.78safer0.81–3.250.00–2.010.66–5.26
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.723.078.79safe3.85–7.581.33–4.815.18–12.39safer3.36–8.070.86–5.284.22–13.35
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction16.579.5526.11safe12.64–20.495.98–13.1118.62–33.60safer11.55–21.585.02–14.0716.57–35.65
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction9.945.8815.82safe7.00–12.883.20–8.5610.19–21.44safer6.17–13.712.46–9.308.63–23.01
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction4.271.886.15safe2.39–6.150.22–3.532.61–9.68safer1.84–6.700.00–4.021.57–10.72
Corners
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.923.259.17safe3.71–8.131.25–5.254.96–13.39safer3.13–8.710.72–5.783.85–14.49
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.4635.03safe58.66–72.2528.25–41.82safer57.00–73.9226.58–43.49
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction572289861safe505–639223–356728–995safer487–657205–373692–1031
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction73.2561.30safe69.23–77.2856.98–65.62safer67.93–78.5855.67–66.93
Fouls
14%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2716.4727.74safe8.43–14.1113.53–19.4221.96–33.53safer7.68–14.8612.78–20.1720.46–35.03
Offsides
78%
homeawaytotalprediction1.373.584.95safe0.21–2.532.49–4.682.70–7.21safer0.00–2.832.20–4.962.11–7.80
Yellow cards
18%
16%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.954.49safe0.48–2.581.82–4.082.31–6.66safer0.22–2.851.53–4.371.75–7.22
Red cards
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.160.24safe0.00–0.250.00–0.340.00–0.59safer0.00–0.400.00–0.480.00–0.87
GK saves
19%
14%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.043.575.61safe0.60–3.472.01–5.132.61–8.60safer0.21–3.861.59–5.551.80–9.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.03 1.06–3.00 0.81–3.25 | 0.93 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.01 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 63% 21% 16% |
| Shots on target | 5.72 3.85–7.58 3.36–8.07 | 3.07 1.33–4.81 0.86–5.28 | 8.79 5.18–12.39 4.22–13.35 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 16.57 12.64–20.49 11.55–21.58 | 9.55 5.98–13.11 5.02–14.07 | 26.11 18.62–33.60 16.57–35.65 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 9.94 7.00–12.88 6.17–13.71 | 5.88 3.20–8.56 2.46–9.30 | 15.82 10.19–21.44 8.63–23.01 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 4.27 2.39–6.15 1.84–6.70 | 1.88 0.22–3.53 0.00–4.02 | 6.15 2.61–9.68 1.57–10.72 | 78% |
| Corners | 5.92 3.71–8.13 3.13–8.71 | 3.25 1.25–5.25 0.72–5.78 | 9.17 4.96–13.39 3.85–14.49 | 76% 14% |
| Possession % | 65.46 58.66–72.25 57.00–73.92 | 35.03 28.25–41.82 26.58–43.49 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 572 505–639 487–657 | 289 223–356 205–373 | 861 728–995 692–1031 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.25 69.23–77.28 67.93–78.58 | 61.30 56.98–65.62 55.67–66.93 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 11.27 8.43–14.11 7.68–14.86 | 16.47 13.53–19.42 12.78–20.17 | 27.74 21.96–33.53 20.46–35.03 | 14% 81% |
| Offsides | 1.37 0.21–2.53 0.00–2.83 | 3.58 2.49–4.68 2.20–4.96 | 4.95 2.70–7.21 2.11–7.80 | 78% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.22–2.85 | 2.95 1.82–4.08 1.53–4.37 | 4.49 2.31–6.66 1.75–7.22 | 18% 16% 67% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.48 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 79% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.04 0.60–3.47 0.21–3.86 | 3.57 2.01–5.13 1.59–5.55 | 5.61 2.61–8.60 1.80–9.41 | 19% 14% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+