Premier League·Regular Season - 27·
Premier League·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.310.903.21safe1.34–3.280.04–1.751.38–5.03safer1.09–3.530.00–1.980.90–5.51
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.363.019.37safe4.49–8.221.27–4.755.76–12.97safer4.00–8.710.80–5.224.81–13.93
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction17.788.7026.49safe13.86–21.715.14–12.2619.00–33.97safer12.77–22.804.18–13.2216.95–36.02
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction11.505.7817.28safe8.56–14.443.10–8.4611.66–22.90safer7.73–15.272.36–9.2010.09–24.47
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction4.822.307.11safe2.93–6.700.64–3.953.58–10.65safer2.39–7.240.15–4.442.54–11.68
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.793.2810.07safe4.58–9.011.28–5.285.86–14.28safer4.01–9.580.74–5.814.75–15.39
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.3340.72safe52.54–66.1233.93–47.50safer50.87–67.7932.26–49.17
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction527361888safe460–594295–427755–1022safer442–613277–445719–1058
Pass accuracy %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction75.2869.30safe71.25–79.3164.97–73.62safer69.96–80.6163.67–74.93
Fouls
28%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8115.4328.24safe9.97–15.6412.49–18.3822.46–34.02safer9.21–16.4011.74–19.1320.95–35.53
Offsides
48%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.523.47safe0.79–3.110.43–2.611.22–5.72safer0.49–3.410.14–2.900.63–6.31
Yellow cards
21%
16%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.773.034.80safe0.73–2.821.90–4.162.63–6.98safer0.46–3.091.61–4.452.07–7.54
Red cards
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.150.25safe0.00–0.260.00–0.340.00–0.60safer0.00–0.410.00–0.470.00–0.88
GK saves
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.104.266.36safe0.66–3.542.70–5.813.36–9.35safer0.28–3.922.28–6.242.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.31 1.34–3.28 1.09–3.53 | 0.90 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 3.21 1.38–5.03 0.90–5.51 | 69% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.36 4.49–8.22 4.00–8.71 | 3.01 1.27–4.75 0.80–5.22 | 9.37 5.76–12.97 4.81–13.93 | 83% |
| Total shots | 17.78 13.86–21.71 12.77–22.80 | 8.70 5.14–12.26 4.18–13.22 | 26.49 19.00–33.97 16.95–36.02 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 11.50 8.56–14.44 7.73–15.27 | 5.78 3.10–8.46 2.36–9.20 | 17.28 11.66–22.90 10.09–24.47 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.82 2.93–6.70 2.39–7.24 | 2.30 0.64–3.95 0.15–4.44 | 7.11 3.58–10.65 2.54–11.68 | 78% |
| Corners | 6.79 4.58–9.01 4.01–9.58 | 3.28 1.28–5.28 0.74–5.81 | 10.07 5.86–14.28 4.75–15.39 | 83% |
| Possession % | 59.33 52.54–66.12 50.87–67.79 | 40.72 33.93–47.50 32.26–49.17 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 527 460–594 442–613 | 361 295–427 277–445 | 888 755–1022 719–1058 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.28 71.25–79.31 69.96–80.61 | 69.30 64.97–73.62 63.67–74.93 | — | 76% 20% |
| Fouls | 12.81 9.97–15.64 9.21–16.40 | 15.43 12.49–18.38 11.74–19.13 | 28.24 22.46–34.02 20.95–35.53 | 28% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.95 0.79–3.11 0.49–3.41 | 1.52 0.43–2.61 0.14–2.90 | 3.47 1.22–5.72 0.63–6.31 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.73–2.82 0.46–3.09 | 3.03 1.90–4.16 1.61–4.45 | 4.80 2.63–6.98 2.07–7.54 | 21% 16% 63% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.10 0.66–3.54 0.28–3.92 | 4.26 2.70–5.81 2.28–6.24 | 6.36 3.36–9.35 2.55–10.16 | 14% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+