Premier League·Regular Season - 30·
Premier League·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.310.833.14safe1.34–3.280.00–1.681.32–4.96safer1.09–3.530.00–1.910.84–5.44
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.573.339.91safe4.71–8.431.59–5.086.30–13.51safer4.22–8.921.13–5.545.35–14.47
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction17.539.9627.49safe13.61–21.466.40–13.5220.01–34.98safer12.52–22.555.44–14.4817.96–37.03
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction12.006.2418.25safe9.06–14.953.56–8.9212.62–23.87safer8.23–15.772.82–9.6611.06–25.44
Blocked shots
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.382.396.78safe2.50–6.260.74–4.053.24–10.31safer1.95–6.810.25–4.542.20–11.35
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.183.519.69safe3.97–8.391.51–5.515.48–13.91safer3.39–8.970.98–6.054.37–15.01
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.1440.35safe53.35–66.9333.56–47.13safer51.68–68.6031.89–48.80
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction536353889safe469–603286–419755–1022safer450–621269–437719–1058
Pass accuracy %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction78.0069.94safe73.97–82.0365.61–74.26safer72.68–83.3264.30–75.57
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7215.2727.99safe9.88–15.5612.32–18.2122.20–33.77safer9.12–16.3111.57–18.9620.70–35.27
Offsides
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.992.144.13safe0.83–3.151.05–3.231.87–6.38safer0.53–3.450.76–3.521.29–6.97
Yellow cards
23%
17%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.802.874.67safe0.75–2.851.74–4.002.50–6.85safer0.49–3.121.45–4.291.94–7.41
Red cards
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.180.28safe0.00–0.260.00–0.360.00–0.62safer0.00–0.410.00–0.500.00–0.91
GK saves
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.424.276.69safe0.98–3.862.71–5.823.69–9.68safer0.60–4.242.28–6.252.88–10.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.31 1.34–3.28 1.09–3.53 | 0.83 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 3.14 1.32–4.96 0.84–5.44 | 71% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.57 4.71–8.43 4.22–8.92 | 3.33 1.59–5.08 1.13–5.54 | 9.91 6.30–13.51 5.35–14.47 | 81% |
| Total shots | 17.53 13.61–21.46 12.52–22.55 | 9.96 6.40–13.52 5.44–14.48 | 27.49 20.01–34.98 17.96–37.03 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 12.00 9.06–14.95 8.23–15.77 | 6.24 3.56–8.92 2.82–9.66 | 18.25 12.62–23.87 11.06–25.44 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.38 2.50–6.26 1.95–6.81 | 2.39 0.74–4.05 0.25–4.54 | 6.78 3.24–10.31 2.20–11.35 | 72% 17% |
| Corners | 6.18 3.97–8.39 3.39–8.97 | 3.51 1.51–5.51 0.98–6.05 | 9.69 5.48–13.91 4.37–15.01 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 60.14 53.35–66.93 51.68–68.60 | 40.35 33.56–47.13 31.89–48.80 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 536 469–603 450–621 | 353 286–419 269–437 | 889 755–1022 719–1058 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.00 73.97–82.03 72.68–83.32 | 69.94 65.61–74.26 64.30–75.57 | — | 84% 13% |
| Fouls | 12.72 9.88–15.56 9.12–16.31 | 15.27 12.32–18.21 11.57–18.96 | 27.99 22.20–33.77 20.70–35.27 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.99 0.83–3.15 0.53–3.45 | 2.14 1.05–3.23 0.76–3.52 | 4.13 1.87–6.38 1.29–6.97 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.49–3.12 | 2.87 1.74–4.00 1.45–4.29 | 4.67 2.50–6.85 1.94–7.41 | 23% 17% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.36 0.00–0.50 | 0.28 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.91 | 77% 15% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.98–3.86 0.60–4.24 | 4.27 2.71–5.82 2.28–6.25 | 6.69 3.69–9.68 2.88–10.49 | 18% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.