Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
26%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.042.48safe0.47–2.410.18–1.890.66–4.30safer0.22–2.660.00–2.120.18–4.78
Shots on target
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.634.018.64safe2.76–6.492.27–5.755.03–12.24safer2.27–6.981.80–6.224.08–13.20
Total shots
55%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3712.2625.64safe9.45–17.308.70–15.8318.15–33.13safer8.36–18.397.74–16.7916.10–35.18
Shots in box
60%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction8.967.4616.42safe6.02–11.914.78–10.1410.80–22.04safer5.19–12.734.04–10.889.23–23.61
Blocked shots
45%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.593.386.97safe1.70–5.471.73–5.043.43–10.50safer1.16–6.011.24–5.532.40–11.54
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.564.5710.13safe3.35–7.772.57–6.575.92–14.35safer2.77–8.352.04–7.114.81–15.45
Possession %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction50.8249.68safe44.03–57.6142.90–56.47safer42.36–59.2841.23–58.14
Passes
54%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction415403818safe348–482337–470685–952safer330–500319–487649–988
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction64.5970.28safe60.56–68.6265.95–74.60safer59.26–69.9164.64–75.91
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8512.4323.28safe8.01–13.699.49–15.3817.50–29.06safer7.26–14.448.74–16.1316.00–30.57
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.563.34safe0.62–2.940.47–2.651.09–5.59safer0.32–3.240.18–2.940.50–6.18
Yellow cards
38%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.102.224.32safe1.05–3.151.09–3.352.14–6.50safer0.79–3.420.80–3.641.58–7.05
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.120.24safe0.00–0.280.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.430.00–0.430.00–0.87
GK saves
36%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.873.206.07safe1.43–4.301.64–4.763.07–9.06safer1.04–4.691.22–5.182.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 1.04 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 2.48 0.66–4.30 0.18–4.78 | 46% 26% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.63 2.76–6.49 2.27–6.98 | 4.01 2.27–5.75 1.80–6.22 | 8.64 5.03–12.24 4.08–13.20 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Total shots | 13.37 9.45–17.30 8.36–18.39 | 12.26 8.70–15.83 7.74–16.79 | 25.64 18.15–33.13 16.10–35.18 | 55% 38% |
| Shots in box | 8.96 6.02–11.91 5.19–12.73 | 7.46 4.78–10.14 4.04–10.88 | 16.42 10.80–22.04 9.23–23.61 | 60% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 3.59 1.70–5.47 1.16–6.01 | 3.38 1.73–5.04 1.24–5.53 | 6.97 3.43–10.50 2.40–11.54 | 45% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.56 3.35–7.77 2.77–8.35 | 4.57 2.57–6.57 2.04–7.11 | 10.13 5.92–14.35 4.81–15.45 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 50.82 44.03–57.61 42.36–59.28 | 49.68 42.90–56.47 41.23–58.14 | — | 50% 45% |
| Passes | 415 348–482 330–500 | 403 337–470 319–487 | 818 685–952 649–988 | 54% 46% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.59 60.56–68.62 59.26–69.91 | 70.28 65.95–74.60 64.64–75.91 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 10.85 8.01–13.69 7.26–14.44 | 12.43 9.49–15.38 8.74–16.13 | 23.28 17.50–29.06 16.00–30.57 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.56 0.47–2.65 0.18–2.94 | 3.34 1.09–5.59 0.50–6.18 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 2.10 1.05–3.15 0.79–3.42 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 4.32 2.14–6.50 1.58–7.05 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.87 1.43–4.30 1.04–4.69 | 3.20 1.64–4.76 1.22–5.18 | 6.07 3.07–9.06 2.26–9.87 | 36% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.