Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
26%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.292.64safe0.38–2.320.43–2.140.82–4.46safer0.13–2.570.20–2.370.34–4.94
Shots on target
52%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.613.978.58safe2.75–6.472.23–5.714.98–12.19safer2.26–6.961.76–6.184.02–13.14
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0911.7325.82safe10.16–18.018.17–15.2918.33–33.31safer9.07–19.107.21–16.2516.28–35.36
Shots in box
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction8.587.8016.38safe5.64–11.525.12–10.4810.76–22.00safer4.81–12.354.38–11.229.19–23.57
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.783.206.98safe1.90–5.661.55–4.853.44–10.51safer1.35–6.201.05–5.342.41–11.55
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.204.609.80safe2.99–7.422.60–6.605.59–14.01safer2.42–7.992.06–7.134.48–15.12
Possession %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction51.4049.17safe44.61–58.1942.38–55.95safer42.94–59.8640.71–57.62
Passes
62%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction432394826safe365–499328–461693–960safer347–517310–478657–996
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction66.0466.75safe62.01–70.0762.43–71.07safer60.71–71.3661.12–72.38
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2211.5222.74safe8.39–14.068.57–14.4616.96–28.53safer7.63–14.827.83–15.2115.46–30.03
Offsides
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.813.51safe0.54–2.860.72–2.901.26–5.77safer0.24–3.160.43–3.190.67–6.35
Yellow cards
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.022.334.35safe0.97–3.071.20–3.462.17–6.52safer0.70–3.330.91–3.751.61–7.08
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.140.27safe0.00–0.290.00–0.330.00–0.61safer0.00–0.440.00–0.460.00–0.90
GK saves
34%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.573.065.62safe1.13–4.011.50–4.612.63–8.62safer0.75–4.391.07–5.041.82–9.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.29 0.43–2.14 0.20–2.37 | 2.64 0.82–4.46 0.34–4.94 | 38% 26% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.61 2.75–6.47 2.26–6.96 | 3.97 2.23–5.71 1.76–6.18 | 8.58 4.98–12.19 4.02–13.14 | 52% 14% 35% |
| Total shots | 14.09 10.16–18.01 9.07–19.10 | 11.73 8.17–15.29 7.21–16.25 | 25.82 18.33–33.31 16.28–35.36 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 8.58 5.64–11.52 4.81–12.35 | 7.80 5.12–10.48 4.38–11.22 | 16.38 10.76–22.00 9.19–23.57 | 53% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.78 1.90–5.66 1.35–6.20 | 3.20 1.55–4.85 1.05–5.34 | 6.98 3.44–10.51 2.41–11.55 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.20 2.99–7.42 2.42–7.99 | 4.60 2.60–6.60 2.06–7.13 | 9.80 5.59–14.01 4.48–15.12 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 51.40 44.61–58.19 42.94–59.86 | 49.17 42.38–55.95 40.71–57.62 | — | 53% 42% |
| Passes | 432 365–499 347–517 | 394 328–461 310–478 | 826 693–960 657–996 | 62% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.04 62.01–70.07 60.71–71.36 | 66.75 62.43–71.07 61.12–72.38 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 11.22 8.39–14.06 7.63–14.82 | 11.52 8.57–14.46 7.83–15.21 | 22.74 16.96–28.53 15.46–30.03 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.16 | 1.81 0.72–2.90 0.43–3.19 | 3.51 1.26–5.77 0.67–6.35 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.70–3.33 | 2.33 1.20–3.46 0.91–3.75 | 4.35 2.17–6.52 1.61–7.08 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.27 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.90 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.57 1.13–4.01 0.75–4.39 | 3.06 1.50–4.61 1.07–5.04 | 5.62 2.63–8.62 1.82–9.43 | 34% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.