Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
24%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.111.752.86safe0.14–2.080.89–2.601.03–4.68safer0.00–2.330.66–2.830.55–5.16
Shots on target
25%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.895.419.30safe2.02–5.753.67–7.165.69–12.90safer1.53–6.243.20–7.624.74–13.86
Total shots
25%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4215.5427.96safe8.49–16.3411.98–19.1020.47–35.45safer7.40–17.4411.02–20.0618.42–37.50
Shots in box
23%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction7.4510.0417.49safe4.51–10.397.36–12.7211.87–23.12safer3.68–11.226.62–13.4610.30–24.68
Blocked shots
29%
14%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.314.287.59safe1.43–5.192.63–5.934.05–11.12safer0.88–5.732.13–6.423.02–12.16
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.495.6310.11safe2.27–6.703.63–7.635.90–14.33safer1.70–7.273.09–8.164.79–15.43
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.7862.11safe31.99–45.5755.32–68.89safer30.32–47.2453.65–70.56
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction338529867safe271–406462–595734–1001safer253–424445–613698–1037
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction60.7775.05safe56.74–64.8070.72–79.37safer55.45–66.0969.41–80.68
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8912.4824.37safe9.05–14.739.54–15.4318.59–30.16safer8.30–15.498.79–16.1817.09–31.66
Offsides
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.322.83safe0.36–2.680.23–2.410.58–5.09safer0.06–2.980.00–2.700.00–5.68
Yellow cards
44%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.994.22safe1.18–3.280.86–3.122.04–6.40safer0.91–3.540.57–3.411.48–6.95
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
57%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.692.706.39safe2.25–5.131.14–4.253.40–9.38safer1.87–5.510.72–4.682.58–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.11 0.14–2.08 0.00–2.33 | 1.75 0.89–2.60 0.66–2.83 | 2.86 1.03–4.68 0.55–5.16 | 24% 24% 52% |
| Shots on target | 3.89 2.02–5.75 1.53–6.24 | 5.41 3.67–7.16 3.20–7.62 | 9.30 5.69–12.90 4.74–13.86 | 25% 63% |
| Total shots | 12.42 8.49–16.34 7.40–17.44 | 15.54 11.98–19.10 11.02–20.06 | 27.96 20.47–35.45 18.42–37.50 | 25% 69% |
| Shots in box | 7.45 4.51–10.39 3.68–11.22 | 10.04 7.36–12.72 6.62–13.46 | 17.49 11.87–23.12 10.30–24.68 | 23% 69% |
| Blocked shots | 3.31 1.43–5.19 0.88–5.73 | 4.28 2.63–5.93 2.13–6.42 | 7.59 4.05–11.12 3.02–12.16 | 29% 14% 57% |
| Corners | 4.49 2.27–6.70 1.70–7.27 | 5.63 3.63–7.63 3.09–8.16 | 10.11 5.90–14.33 4.79–15.43 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 38.78 31.99–45.57 30.32–47.24 | 62.11 55.32–68.89 53.65–70.56 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 338 271–406 253–424 | 529 462–595 445–613 | 867 734–1001 698–1037 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.77 56.74–64.80 55.45–66.09 | 75.05 70.72–79.37 69.41–80.68 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.89 9.05–14.73 8.30–15.49 | 12.48 9.54–15.43 8.79–16.18 | 24.37 18.59–30.16 17.09–31.66 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 1.32 0.23–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 2.83 0.58–5.09 0.00–5.68 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.23 1.18–3.28 0.91–3.54 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 4.22 2.04–6.40 1.48–6.95 | 44% 20% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.69 2.25–5.13 1.87–5.51 | 2.70 1.14–4.25 0.72–4.68 | 6.39 3.40–9.38 2.58–10.19 | 57% 15% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.