Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
19%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.201.023.21safe1.23–3.170.16–1.871.39–5.04safer0.98–3.420.00–2.100.91–5.52
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.333.599.92safe4.47–8.191.85–5.336.31–13.52safer3.98–8.681.38–5.805.36–14.48
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction18.759.8728.62safe14.83–22.686.30–13.4321.13–36.11safer13.74–23.775.34–14.3919.08–38.16
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction11.756.3118.06safe8.81–14.693.63–8.9912.44–23.68safer7.98–15.522.89–9.7310.87–25.25
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction5.102.547.64safe3.22–6.980.89–4.204.11–11.18safer2.67–7.520.40–4.693.07–12.21
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction7.093.7810.88safe4.88–9.311.78–5.786.66–15.09safer4.31–9.881.25–6.325.56–16.20
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.6435.78safe56.85–70.4329.00–42.57safer55.18–72.1027.33–44.24
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction592313905safe525–659246–379771–1038safer506–677229–397735–1074
Pass accuracy %
81%
15%
homeawayprediction74.6967.30safe70.66–78.7262.98–71.63safer69.37–80.0161.67–72.94
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1911.9822.16safe7.35–13.029.03–14.9216.38–27.94safer6.59–13.788.28–15.6714.88–29.45
Offsides
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.302.83safe0.36–2.680.21–2.400.57–5.08safer0.06–2.980.00–2.680.00–5.67
Yellow cards
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.893.26safe0.31–2.410.76–3.021.08–5.44safer0.05–2.680.47–3.310.52–5.99
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
19%
13%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.293.926.21safe0.85–3.722.36–5.483.21–9.20safer0.46–4.111.94–5.902.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.20 1.23–3.17 0.98–3.42 | 1.02 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 3.21 1.39–5.04 0.91–5.52 | 64% 19% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.33 4.47–8.19 3.98–8.68 | 3.59 1.85–5.33 1.38–5.80 | 9.92 6.31–13.52 5.36–14.48 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 18.75 14.83–22.68 13.74–23.77 | 9.87 6.30–13.43 5.34–14.39 | 28.62 21.13–36.11 19.08–38.16 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.75 8.81–14.69 7.98–15.52 | 6.31 3.63–8.99 2.89–9.73 | 18.06 12.44–23.68 10.87–25.25 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 5.10 3.22–6.98 2.67–7.52 | 2.54 0.89–4.20 0.40–4.69 | 7.64 4.11–11.18 3.07–12.21 | 77% |
| Corners | 7.09 4.88–9.31 4.31–9.88 | 3.78 1.78–5.78 1.25–6.32 | 10.88 6.66–15.09 5.56–16.20 | 80% |
| Possession % | 63.64 56.85–70.43 55.18–72.10 | 35.78 29.00–42.57 27.33–44.24 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 592 525–659 506–677 | 313 246–379 229–397 | 905 771–1038 735–1074 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.69 70.66–78.72 69.37–80.01 | 67.30 62.98–71.63 61.67–72.94 | — | 81% 15% |
| Fouls | 10.19 7.35–13.02 6.59–13.78 | 11.98 9.03–14.92 8.28–15.67 | 22.16 16.38–27.94 14.88–29.45 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 1.30 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.68 | 2.83 0.57–5.08 0.00–5.67 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.31–2.41 0.05–2.68 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.26 1.08–5.44 0.52–5.99 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.29 0.85–3.72 0.46–4.11 | 3.92 2.36–5.48 1.94–5.90 | 6.21 3.21–9.20 2.40–10.01 | 19% 13% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.