Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.152.89safe0.77–2.700.30–2.011.07–4.71safer0.52–2.950.07–2.240.59–5.19
Shots on target
61%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.253.869.12safe3.39–7.122.12–5.615.51–12.72safer2.90–7.611.65–6.074.56–13.68
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8211.8325.65safe9.90–17.758.27–15.3918.17–33.14safer8.81–18.847.31–16.3516.12–35.19
Shots in box
64%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction9.447.4516.89safe6.50–12.384.77–10.1311.27–22.51safer5.67–13.214.03–10.879.70–24.08
Blocked shots
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.383.056.43safe1.50–5.271.39–4.702.89–9.97safer0.96–5.810.90–5.191.86–11.00
Corners
52%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.604.9110.50safe3.38–7.812.91–6.916.29–14.72safer2.81–8.382.37–7.445.18–15.82
Possession %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction53.1447.85safe46.35–59.9341.06–54.63safer44.68–61.6039.39–56.30
Passes
70%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction457394850safe389–524327–460717–984safer371–542310–478681–1020
Pass accuracy %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction70.2469.41safe66.21–74.2765.09–73.74safer64.92–75.5663.78–75.05
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7810.8422.62safe8.94–14.627.89–13.7816.84–28.40safer8.19–15.377.14–14.5315.33–29.90
Offsides
69%
16%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.751.264.01safe1.59–3.910.17–2.361.76–6.27safer1.29–4.210.00–2.651.17–6.86
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.833.51safe0.63–2.720.70–2.961.33–5.69safer0.36–2.990.41–3.250.77–6.24
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
32%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.723.396.11safe1.28–4.151.83–4.953.11–9.10safer0.89–4.541.41–5.372.30–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.73 0.77–2.70 0.52–2.95 | 1.15 0.30–2.01 0.07–2.24 | 2.89 1.07–4.71 0.59–5.19 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.25 3.39–7.12 2.90–7.61 | 3.86 2.12–5.61 1.65–6.07 | 9.12 5.51–12.72 4.56–13.68 | 61% 26% |
| Total shots | 13.82 9.90–17.75 8.81–18.84 | 11.83 8.27–15.39 7.31–16.35 | 25.65 18.17–33.14 16.12–35.19 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 9.44 6.50–12.38 5.67–13.21 | 7.45 4.77–10.13 4.03–10.87 | 16.89 11.27–22.51 9.70–24.08 | 64% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 3.38 1.50–5.27 0.96–5.81 | 3.05 1.39–4.70 0.90–5.19 | 6.43 2.89–9.97 1.86–11.00 | 47% 16% 37% |
| Corners | 5.60 3.38–7.81 2.81–8.38 | 4.91 2.91–6.91 2.37–7.44 | 10.50 6.29–14.72 5.18–15.82 | 52% 36% |
| Possession % | 53.14 46.35–59.93 44.68–61.60 | 47.85 41.06–54.63 39.39–56.30 | — | 60% 35% |
| Passes | 457 389–524 371–542 | 394 327–460 310–478 | 850 717–984 681–1020 | 70% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.24 66.21–74.27 64.92–75.56 | 69.41 65.09–73.74 63.78–75.05 | — | 52% 43% |
| Fouls | 11.78 8.94–14.62 8.19–15.37 | 10.84 7.89–13.78 7.14–14.53 | 22.62 16.84–28.40 15.33–29.90 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.75 1.59–3.91 1.29–4.21 | 1.26 0.17–2.36 0.00–2.65 | 4.01 1.76–6.27 1.17–6.86 | 69% 16% 15% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.63–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.51 1.33–5.69 0.77–6.24 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.72 1.28–4.15 0.89–4.54 | 3.39 1.83–4.95 1.41–5.37 | 6.11 3.11–9.10 2.30–9.91 | 32% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.