Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.442.78safe0.37–2.310.58–2.290.96–4.60safer0.12–2.560.35–2.520.48–5.08
Shots on target
49%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.534.128.65safe2.67–6.392.38–5.865.05–12.26safer2.18–6.881.91–6.334.09–13.21
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2312.3026.54safe10.31–18.168.74–15.8719.05–34.03safer9.22–19.257.78–16.8317.00–36.08
Shots in box
51%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction8.257.5915.84safe5.31–11.194.91–10.2710.22–21.46safer4.48–12.024.18–11.018.65–23.03
Blocked shots
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.522.986.50safe1.64–5.401.33–4.632.96–10.04safer1.09–5.950.83–5.121.93–11.07
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.644.5910.23safe3.43–7.862.59–6.596.01–14.44safer2.86–8.432.05–7.124.91–15.55
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction48.4550.48safe41.66–55.2443.69–57.26safer39.99–56.9142.02–58.93
Passes
44%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction405423828safe337–472356–489694–961safer319–490339–507658–997
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction66.6770.42safe62.64–70.7066.09–74.74safer61.35–71.9964.78–76.05
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7011.9922.68safe7.86–13.539.04–14.9316.90–28.47safer7.10–14.298.29–15.6815.40–29.97
Offsides
17%
17%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction1.362.734.09safe0.20–2.521.64–3.831.84–6.35safer0.00–2.821.35–4.111.25–6.94
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.013.70safe0.64–2.740.88–3.141.52–5.88safer0.38–3.010.59–3.430.97–6.44
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.633.155.78safe1.20–4.071.59–4.712.79–8.77safer0.81–4.461.17–5.131.98–9.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.44 0.58–2.29 0.35–2.52 | 2.78 0.96–4.60 0.48–5.08 | 35% 25% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.53 2.67–6.39 2.18–6.88 | 4.12 2.38–5.86 1.91–6.33 | 8.65 5.05–12.26 4.09–13.21 | 49% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 14.23 10.31–18.16 9.22–19.25 | 12.30 8.74–15.87 7.78–16.83 | 26.54 19.05–34.03 17.00–36.08 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 8.25 5.31–11.19 4.48–12.02 | 7.59 4.91–10.27 4.18–11.01 | 15.84 10.22–21.46 8.65–23.03 | 51% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.64–5.40 1.09–5.95 | 2.98 1.33–4.63 0.83–5.12 | 6.50 2.96–10.04 1.93–11.07 | 50% 16% 34% |
| Corners | 5.64 3.43–7.86 2.86–8.43 | 4.59 2.59–6.59 2.05–7.12 | 10.23 6.01–14.44 4.91–15.55 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 48.45 41.66–55.24 39.99–56.91 | 50.48 43.69–57.26 42.02–58.93 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 405 337–472 319–490 | 423 356–489 339–507 | 828 694–961 658–997 | 44% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.67 62.64–70.70 61.35–71.99 | 70.42 66.09–74.74 64.78–76.05 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 10.70 7.86–13.53 7.10–14.29 | 11.99 9.04–14.93 8.29–15.68 | 22.68 16.90–28.47 15.40–29.97 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.36 0.20–2.52 0.00–2.82 | 2.73 1.64–3.83 1.35–4.11 | 4.09 1.84–6.35 1.25–6.94 | 17% 17% 66% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.38–3.01 | 2.01 0.88–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 3.70 1.52–5.88 0.97–6.44 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 3.15 1.59–4.71 1.17–5.13 | 5.78 2.79–8.77 1.98–9.59 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.