Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.313.22safe0.94–2.870.45–2.161.39–5.04safer0.69–3.130.23–2.390.91–5.52
Shots on target
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.934.5710.50safe4.07–7.802.82–6.316.89–14.11safer3.58–8.282.36–6.785.94–15.06
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction16.8312.0728.90safe12.90–20.758.51–15.6321.41–36.39safer11.81–21.847.55–16.5919.36–38.44
Shots in box
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction10.767.7418.50safe7.82–13.705.06–10.4212.87–24.12safer6.99–14.534.32–11.1611.31–25.69
Blocked shots
58%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.283.187.46safe2.40–6.161.53–4.843.93–11.00safer1.85–6.711.04–5.332.89–12.03
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.724.8610.58safe3.51–7.942.86–6.866.37–14.79safer2.94–8.512.32–7.395.26–15.90
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction49.9849.89safe43.19–56.7743.11–56.68safer41.52–58.4441.44–58.35
Passes
48%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction467472939safe400–534406–539805–1073safer382–552388–556770–1108
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction74.8975.01safe70.86–78.9270.68–79.33safer69.57–80.2169.37–80.64
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3010.7623.06safe9.46–15.137.82–13.7117.28–28.84safer8.70–15.897.07–14.4615.77–30.35
Offsides
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.082.094.17safe0.92–3.241.00–3.181.91–6.42safer0.62–3.540.71–3.471.32–7.01
Yellow cards
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.802.254.05safe0.75–2.851.12–3.381.87–6.22safer0.48–3.110.83–3.671.31–6.78
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
27%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.876.66safe1.35–4.232.31–5.433.67–9.65safer0.97–4.611.89–5.852.86–10.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.91 0.94–2.87 0.69–3.13 | 1.31 0.45–2.16 0.23–2.39 | 3.22 1.39–5.04 0.91–5.52 | 51% 22% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.93 4.07–7.80 3.58–8.28 | 4.57 2.82–6.31 2.36–6.78 | 10.50 6.89–14.11 5.94–15.06 | 60% 28% |
| Total shots | 16.83 12.90–20.75 11.81–21.84 | 12.07 8.51–15.63 7.55–16.59 | 28.90 21.41–36.39 19.36–38.44 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 10.76 7.82–13.70 6.99–14.53 | 7.74 5.06–10.42 4.32–11.16 | 18.50 12.87–24.12 11.31–25.69 | 72% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.28 2.40–6.16 1.85–6.71 | 3.18 1.53–4.84 1.04–5.33 | 7.46 3.93–11.00 2.89–12.03 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.72 3.51–7.94 2.94–8.51 | 4.86 2.86–6.86 2.32–7.39 | 10.58 6.37–14.79 5.26–15.90 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 49.98 43.19–56.77 41.52–58.44 | 49.89 43.11–56.68 41.44–58.35 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 467 400–534 382–552 | 472 406–539 388–556 | 939 805–1073 770–1108 | 48% 52% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.89 70.86–78.92 69.57–80.21 | 75.01 70.68–79.33 69.37–80.64 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 12.30 9.46–15.13 8.70–15.89 | 10.76 7.82–13.71 7.07–14.46 | 23.06 17.28–28.84 15.77–30.35 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 2.08 0.92–3.24 0.62–3.54 | 2.09 1.00–3.18 0.71–3.47 | 4.17 1.91–6.42 1.32–7.01 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.48–3.11 | 2.25 1.12–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 4.05 1.87–6.22 1.31–6.78 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.35–4.23 0.97–4.61 | 3.87 2.31–5.43 1.89–5.85 | 6.66 3.67–9.65 2.86–10.47 | 27% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+