Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.423.05safe0.66–2.600.56–2.271.23–4.87safer0.41–2.850.34–2.500.75–5.35
Shots on target
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.324.639.95safe3.46–7.182.89–6.376.35–13.56safer2.97–7.672.42–6.845.39–14.51
Total shots
55%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6613.5128.17safe10.73–18.589.95–17.0720.68–35.65safer9.64–19.678.99–18.0318.63–37.71
Shots in box
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction9.739.2618.99safe6.79–12.676.58–11.9513.37–24.62safer5.96–13.505.85–12.6811.80–26.18
Blocked shots
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.094.398.47safe2.21–5.972.73–6.044.94–12.01safer1.66–6.512.24–6.533.90–13.05
Corners
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.244.679.91safe3.02–7.452.67–6.675.70–14.12safer2.45–8.022.14–7.214.59–15.23
Possession %
59%
37%
homeawayprediction52.3147.57safe45.52–59.1040.78–54.35safer43.85–60.7739.11–56.02
Passes
71%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction522453975safe454–589387–520841–1109safer436–607369–537806–1144
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction72.5775.28safe68.54–76.6070.96–79.61safer67.25–77.8969.65–80.92
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4812.9423.42safe7.64–13.3210.00–15.8917.64–29.21safer6.89–14.079.25–16.6416.14–30.71
Offsides
48%
20%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.251.824.07safe1.09–3.410.72–2.911.81–6.32safer0.79–3.710.44–3.201.22–6.91
Yellow cards
36%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.942.114.06safe0.89–2.990.98–3.241.88–6.23safer0.63–3.260.69–3.531.32–6.79
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.363.236.59safe1.93–4.801.67–4.783.60–9.58safer1.54–5.191.25–5.212.78–10.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 1.42 0.56–2.27 0.34–2.50 | 3.05 1.23–4.87 0.75–5.35 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Shots on target | 5.32 3.46–7.18 2.97–7.67 | 4.63 2.89–6.37 2.42–6.84 | 9.95 6.35–13.56 5.39–14.51 | 52% 35% |
| Total shots | 14.66 10.73–18.58 9.64–19.67 | 13.51 9.95–17.07 8.99–18.03 | 28.17 20.68–35.65 18.63–37.71 | 55% 38% |
| Shots in box | 9.73 6.79–12.67 5.96–13.50 | 9.26 6.58–11.95 5.85–12.68 | 18.99 13.37–24.62 11.80–26.18 | 50% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 4.09 2.21–5.97 1.66–6.51 | 4.39 2.73–6.04 2.24–6.53 | 8.47 4.94–12.01 3.90–13.05 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Corners | 5.24 3.02–7.45 2.45–8.02 | 4.67 2.67–6.67 2.14–7.21 | 9.91 5.70–14.12 4.59–15.23 | 51% 37% |
| Possession % | 52.31 45.52–59.10 43.85–60.77 | 47.57 40.78–54.35 39.11–56.02 | — | 59% 37% |
| Passes | 522 454–589 436–607 | 453 387–520 369–537 | 975 841–1109 806–1144 | 71% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.57 68.54–76.60 67.25–77.89 | 75.28 70.96–79.61 69.65–80.92 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 10.48 7.64–13.32 6.89–14.07 | 12.94 10.00–15.89 9.25–16.64 | 23.42 17.64–29.21 16.14–30.71 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 2.25 1.09–3.41 0.79–3.71 | 1.82 0.72–2.91 0.44–3.20 | 4.07 1.81–6.32 1.22–6.91 | 48% 20% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.63–3.26 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 4.06 1.88–6.23 1.32–6.79 | 36% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.36 1.93–4.80 1.54–5.19 | 3.23 1.67–4.78 1.25–5.21 | 6.59 3.60–9.58 2.78–10.39 | 44% 16% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+