Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.272.89safe0.65–2.590.42–2.121.07–4.71safer0.40–2.840.19–2.350.59–5.19
Shots on target
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.124.199.31safe3.25–6.982.45–5.945.71–12.92safer2.76–7.471.99–6.404.75–13.87
Total shots
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3011.9927.30safe11.38–19.238.43–15.5619.81–34.78safer10.29–20.327.47–16.5217.76–36.83
Shots in box
58%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction9.137.8316.96safe6.19–12.085.15–10.5111.34–22.58safer5.36–12.904.41–11.259.77–24.15
Blocked shots
54%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.973.197.16safe2.08–5.851.54–4.853.62–10.69safer1.54–6.391.05–5.342.59–11.73
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.674.7410.40safe3.45–7.882.74–6.746.19–14.62safer2.88–8.452.20–7.275.08–15.72
Possession %
59%
37%
homeawayprediction52.6647.94safe45.87–59.4541.15–54.72safer44.20–61.1239.48–56.39
Passes
63%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction464424888safe397–531357–490754–1021safer378–549340–508718–1057
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction68.6469.09safe64.61–72.6764.77–73.42safer63.32–73.9663.46–74.72
Fouls
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1611.0421.20safe7.32–13.008.09–13.9815.41–26.98safer6.56–13.757.34–14.7313.91–28.48
Offsides
36%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.852.003.85safe0.69–3.010.91–3.091.59–6.10safer0.39–3.310.62–3.381.00–6.69
Yellow cards
39%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.092.124.21safe1.04–3.140.99–3.242.03–6.39safer0.78–3.410.70–3.541.47–6.94
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.863.386.24safe1.43–4.301.82–4.933.25–9.23safer1.04–4.681.40–5.362.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.65–2.59 0.40–2.84 | 1.27 0.42–2.12 0.19–2.35 | 2.89 1.07–4.71 0.59–5.19 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Shots on target | 5.12 3.25–6.98 2.76–7.47 | 4.19 2.45–5.94 1.99–6.40 | 9.31 5.71–12.92 4.75–13.87 | 55% 32% |
| Total shots | 15.30 11.38–19.23 10.29–20.32 | 11.99 8.43–15.56 7.47–16.52 | 27.30 19.81–34.78 17.76–36.83 | 70% 23% |
| Shots in box | 9.13 6.19–12.08 5.36–12.90 | 7.83 5.15–10.51 4.41–11.25 | 16.96 11.34–22.58 9.77–24.15 | 58% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 3.97 2.08–5.85 1.54–6.39 | 3.19 1.54–4.85 1.05–5.34 | 7.16 3.62–10.69 2.59–11.73 | 54% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.67 3.45–7.88 2.88–8.45 | 4.74 2.74–6.74 2.20–7.27 | 10.40 6.19–14.62 5.08–15.72 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 52.66 45.87–59.45 44.20–61.12 | 47.94 41.15–54.72 39.48–56.39 | — | 59% 37% |
| Passes | 464 397–531 378–549 | 424 357–490 340–508 | 888 754–1021 718–1057 | 63% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.64 64.61–72.67 63.32–73.96 | 69.09 64.77–73.42 63.46–74.72 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 10.16 7.32–13.00 6.56–13.75 | 11.04 8.09–13.98 7.34–14.73 | 21.20 15.41–26.98 13.91–28.48 | 38% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 2.00 0.91–3.09 0.62–3.38 | 3.85 1.59–6.10 1.00–6.69 | 36% 21% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 2.09 1.04–3.14 0.78–3.41 | 2.12 0.99–3.24 0.70–3.54 | 4.21 2.03–6.39 1.47–6.94 | 39% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.43–4.30 1.04–4.68 | 3.38 1.82–4.93 1.40–5.36 | 6.24 3.25–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+