Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.322.82safe0.53–2.470.46–2.170.99–4.64safer0.28–2.720.24–2.400.51–5.12
Shots on target
43%
13%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.564.559.12safe2.70–6.432.81–6.295.51–12.72safer2.21–6.922.34–6.764.56–13.68
Total shots
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2413.8628.10safe10.32–18.1710.30–17.4220.62–35.59safer9.23–19.269.34–18.3818.56–37.64
Shots in box
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction9.207.9617.16safe6.26–12.155.28–10.6411.54–22.79safer5.43–12.974.54–11.389.97–24.35
Blocked shots
38%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.724.047.76safe1.84–5.602.38–5.694.22–11.29safer1.29–6.141.89–6.183.18–12.33
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.755.0110.77safe3.54–7.973.01–7.016.56–14.98safer2.97–8.542.48–7.555.45–16.09
Possession %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction49.7850.80safe42.99–56.5744.02–57.59safer41.32–58.2442.35–59.26
Passes
57%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction471449921safe404–538383–516787–1054safer386–556366–533751–1090
Pass accuracy %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction67.1470.65safe63.11–71.1766.32–74.97safer61.82–72.4665.02–76.28
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0710.5922.66safe9.23–14.907.65–13.5416.88–28.44safer8.47–15.666.90–14.2815.37–29.95
Offsides
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.893.86safe0.81–3.130.80–2.981.61–6.11safer0.51–3.430.51–3.271.02–6.70
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.023.83safe0.76–2.860.89–3.151.65–6.01safer0.49–3.120.60–3.441.09–6.56
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.093.266.34safe1.65–4.521.70–4.813.35–9.34safer1.26–4.911.28–5.242.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 1.32 0.46–2.17 0.24–2.40 | 2.82 0.99–4.64 0.51–5.12 | 41% 25% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.56 2.70–6.43 2.21–6.92 | 4.55 2.81–6.29 2.34–6.76 | 9.12 5.51–12.72 4.56–13.68 | 43% 13% 43% |
| Total shots | 14.24 10.32–18.17 9.23–19.26 | 13.86 10.30–17.42 9.34–18.38 | 28.10 20.62–35.59 18.56–37.64 | 49% 43% |
| Shots in box | 9.20 6.26–12.15 5.43–12.97 | 7.96 5.28–10.64 4.54–11.38 | 17.16 11.54–22.79 9.97–24.35 | 57% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 3.72 1.84–5.60 1.29–6.14 | 4.04 2.38–5.69 1.89–6.18 | 7.76 4.22–11.29 3.18–12.33 | 38% 14% 47% |
| Corners | 5.75 3.54–7.97 2.97–8.54 | 5.01 3.01–7.01 2.48–7.55 | 10.77 6.56–14.98 5.45–16.09 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 49.78 42.99–56.57 41.32–58.24 | 50.80 44.02–57.59 42.35–59.26 | — | 45% 50% |
| Passes | 471 404–538 386–556 | 449 383–516 366–533 | 921 787–1054 751–1090 | 57% 43% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.14 63.11–71.17 61.82–72.46 | 70.65 66.32–74.97 65.02–76.28 | — | 30% 65% |
| Fouls | 12.07 9.23–14.90 8.47–15.66 | 10.59 7.65–13.54 6.90–14.28 | 22.66 16.88–28.44 15.37–29.95 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.13 0.51–3.43 | 1.89 0.80–2.98 0.51–3.27 | 3.86 1.61–6.11 1.02–6.70 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.12 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 3.83 1.65–6.01 1.09–6.56 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.09 1.65–4.52 1.26–4.91 | 3.26 1.70–4.81 1.28–5.24 | 6.34 3.35–9.34 2.54–10.15 | 39% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.